- The Royals are -125 favorites vs the Twins
- Royals vs Twins Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Royals / Twins TV Channel: BSNO | BSKC
The Kansas City Royals (-125) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (+105) on Tuesday, May 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Royals are 34-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 25-28 ATS.
Royals vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Cole Ragans 4-3, 3.34 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Simeon Woods Richardson 1-0, 2.60 ERA
Royals vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | -1.5 +135 | O 7.5 -105 | -125 |
| Twins | +1.5 -165 | U 7.5 -115 | +105 |
Royals vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Royals vs Twins and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 33 games (+20.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 33 games (+19.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 33 games (+18.45 Units / 44% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in 33 of his last 43 games (+15.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 19 away games (+14.70 Units / 69% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Carlos Santana has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 26 games (+19.20 Units / 74% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 24 games (+16.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+12.60 Units / 39% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 34 games (+11.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+10.60 Units / 34% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 51 games (+17.39 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 32 games (+9.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.70 Units / 41% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.04 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 33 games (+7.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 31 games (+1.85 Units / 5% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 36-19 against the Run Line (+13.79 Units / 17.9% ROI).
- 34-21 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.45 Units / 22.2% ROI
- 23-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.9 Units / -14.98% ROI
- 29-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.6 Units / 6.05% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 25-28 against the Run Line (-4.75 Units / -6.92% ROI).
- 29-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.5 Units / -2.1% ROI
- 24-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.6 Units / -6.26% ROI
- 25-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.4 Units / -2.46% ROI
Twins vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -450 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
Twins vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Freddy Fermin (KC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Manuel Margot (MIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Twins vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Nelson Velazquez (KC) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Freddy Fermin (KC) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Twins vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cole Ragans (KC) | 6.5 -155 | 6.5 +120 |
| Simeon Woods Richardson (MIN) | 3.5 -125 | 3.5 -105 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .550 (11 GB hits out of 20 GBs) against Cole Ragans with runners on base this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .253 — first Percentile.
Cole Ragans has allowed a slugging percentage of just .098 (4 Total Bases / 41 ABs) over the last 14 days — best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .373 — 100th Percentile.
Cole Ragans has allowed a slugging percentage of just .257 (69 Total Bases / 268 ABs) on the road since last season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 85 total IP; League Avg: .426 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .073 (3-for-41) against Cole Ragans over the last 14 days — best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .225 — 100th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (51/295) against Simeon Woods Richardson this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 25% — fifth Percentile.
Simeon Woods Richardson has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 10.1 innings pitched — Mason Miller has the longest active streak at 19.2.
Simeon Woods Richardson has not struck out a hitter in his last 30 PAs against a RHH dating back to May 11st — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (28/163) against Simeon Woods Richardson on non-fastballs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 31% — first Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Royals are just 15-88 (.146) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .364.
The Royals are just 4-11 (.267) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Royals are just 40-18 (.690) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Royals are just 15-28 (.349) after a road win since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Twins are 22-69 (.242) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .144.
The Twins are just 17-30 (.362) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 16-81 (.165) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Twins are 95-1 (.990) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .946.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of .393 (240 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .329.
The Royals are batting .318 against LHP this month (20 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
The Royals have won just 52% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Royals are batting .429 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .268.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting just .152 with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .171.
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .284 (236 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .329.
The Twins are batting just .243 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Twins hitters have 125 extra-base hits out of 291 total hits (43%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .205 against Royals pitchers this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Royals won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Royals have won just 22% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 130 of 1,972 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers have walked 29 of 470 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
- Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
Bet now on Royals vs Twins and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
