Royals vs. Yankees ALDS Prediction: Game 1 Best Bet for Oct. 5

min read
New York Yankees' Aaron Judge, center, and Gleyber Torres, right, watch as Juan Soto (22) celebrates after hitting a two-run home run during the sixth inning of a baseball game against the Kansas City Royals at Yankee Stadium Wednesday, Sept. 11, 2024, in New York.
AP Photo/Seth Wenig
Shane Jackson @Sjacksonmgm Oct 03, 2024, 1:36 PM
  • Get expert MLB playoff betting predictions for the Royals vs. Yankees ALDS matchup.
  • The Yankees are -200 favorites to win Saturdayโ€™s Game 1.
  • New York is -200 to advance to the ALCS.

For the first time since 1980, the Kansas City Royals and New York Yankees will face off in the postseason.

This yearโ€™s ALDS matchup will restore a fierce rivalry between one of the biggest brands in baseball and a small-market team. The Yankees, the No. 1 seed in the American League and fresh off a bye, are -200 favorites to win this series.

The Royals, who are coming off a 2-0 sweep of the Baltimore Orioles, are 9-1 in their last 10 playoff series.

Here is a look at the latest MLB odds for Royals vs. Yankees and my best bet ahead of Saturdayโ€™s Game 1:

MLB Playoff Odds – Royals vs. Yankees

  • Royals Moneyline: +165
  • Yankees Moneyline: -200
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (-120/+100)
  • Series Price: Royals (+165), Yankees (-200)

Royals vs. Yankees Schedule, Pitchers, TV Info

GameDate/TimeRoyals SPYankees SPTV
Game 1Saturday at 6:38 p.m. ETMichael WachaGerrit ColeTBS
Game 2Monday at 7:38 p.m. ETCole RagansCarlos RodรณnTBS
Game 3Wednesday at TBDTBDTBDTBS
Game 4Oct. 10 at TBDTBDTBDTBS
Game 5Oct. 12 at TBDTBDTBDTBS

Royals vs. Yankees ALDS Prediction, Game 1 Best Bet

Best bet: Yankees Run Line -1.5 (+110)

The Yankees should flex their muscles in Saturdayโ€™s Game 1.

Kansas City only scored three runs in its 2-0 sweep over Baltimore after the offense was the worst in baseball in September.

That was enough run support for Cole Ragans and Seth Lugo against the Oriolesโ€™ lineup, but Michael Wacha will need more help when facing the Yankees in Game 1.

Wacha (13-8, 3.35 ERA) is a changeup-heavy pitcher, throwing that pitch 32.2% of the time. I expect Aaron Judge and Juan Soto to sit on that pitch and take advantage. Judge posted the highest xwOBA (.489) among all MLB hitters against the changeup.

The Yankees averaged seven runs per game against the Royals, scoring double-digit runs three times and winning by multiple runs in four of their seven head-to-head meetings.

New York should win by a comfortable margin on Saturday.

Royals vs. Yankees: Betting Stats

  • Kansas City Royals 2024 Moneyline Record: 88-76
  • Kansas City Royals 2024 Over/Under Record: 69-90
  • New York Yankees 2024 Moneyline Record: 94-68
  • New York Yankees 2024 Over/Under Record: 86-69

Royals vs. Yankees 2024 Season Series

DateLocationResult
Sept. 11Yankee StadiumYankees 4, Royals 3
Sept. 10Yankee StadiumRoyals 5, Yankees 0
Sept. 9Yankee StadiumYankees 10, Royals 4
June 13Kauffman StadiumRoyals 4, Yankees 3
June 12Kauffman StadiumYankees 11, Royals 5
June 11Kauffman StadiumYankees 10, Royals 1
June 10Kauffman StadiumYankees 4 , Royals 2

Visit the online sportsbook for game odds and futures odds throughout the playoffs, including Yankees World Series odds and Royals World Series odds.

New and existing BetMGM users can check updated sports betting promos for a potential welcome offer, sportsbook Odds Boost, and more.

jamie-foxx-latest-promo-9-24
About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.