- Get expert MLB playoff betting predictions for the Royals vs. Yankees ALDS matchup.
- The Yankees are -155 favorites to win Thursday’s Game 4.
- New York is -550 to advance to the ALCS.
The New York Yankees can punch their ticket to the ALCS on Thursday following a 3-2 win over the Kansas City Royals in Wednesday’s Game 3 at Kauffman Stadium.
In a tightly contested battle, New York Giancarlo Stanton delivered the decisive blow with a solo home run in the top of the eighth. The Royals had runners at the corners in the bottom of the eighth, but couldn’t come through with the big hit.
New York is a -155 favorite to win Game 4 and is -550 to prevail in the ALDS.
Here is a look at the latest MLB odds for Royals vs. Yankees and my best bet ahead of Game 4:
MLB Playoff Odds – Royals vs. Yankees
- Royals Moneyline: +125
- Yankees Moneyline: -155
- Over/Under: 7.5 (-115/-105)
- Series Price: Royals (+425), Yankees (-550)
Royals vs. Yankees Schedule, Pitchers, TV Info
| Game | Date/Time | Royals SP | Yankees SP | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game 4 | Thursday at 8:08 p.m. ET | Michael Wacha | Gerrit Cole | TBS |
| Game 5 | Saturday at 8:08 p.m. ET | TBD | TBD | TBS |
Royals vs. Yankees ALDS Prediction, Game 4 Best Bet
Best bet: Over 7.5 (-115)
I bet the over in Game 3 and lost, but I don’t mind returning to the well in Game 4. Both lineups have had their opportunities to break a game open during this series.
Kansas City’s pitching staff continues to put guys on base.
The Royals issued nine walks, including four from starting pitcher Seth Lugo. Michael Wacha, tonight’s starter, handed out three free passes in Game 1 when the Royals walked eight New York batters.
I wouldn’t be surprised if New York’s offense explodes in Game 4 with a chance to advance to the ALCS, but Kansas City’s offense has also fared better at home this year. The Royals averaged 4.75 runs per game at home this year.
Over the last three years, Kauffman Stadium has had the fourth-best Park Factor (via Statcast) for offense. Mike Petriello of MLB.com explained that the deep outfield helps players find open grass.
I’m betting over 7.5 runs at -115 or better.
Royals vs. Yankees: Betting Stats
- Kansas City Royals 2024 Moneyline Record: 89-78
- Kansas City Royals 2024 Over/Under Record: 70-92
- New York Yankees 2024 Moneyline Record: 96-69
- New York Yankees 2024 Over/Under Record: 87-71
Royals vs. Yankees 2024 Season Series
| Date | Location | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Oct. 9 | Kauffman Stadium | Yankees 3, Royals 2 |
| Oct. 7 | Yankee Stadium | Royals 4, Yankees 2 |
| Oct. 5 | Yankee Stadium | Yankees 6, Royals 5 |
| Sept. 11 | Yankee Stadium | Yankees 4, Royals 3 |
| Sept. 10 | Yankee Stadium | Royals 5, Yankees 0 |
| Sept. 9 | Yankee Stadium | Yankees 10, Royals 4 |
| June 13 | Kauffman Stadium | Royals 4, Yankees 3 |
| June 12 | Kauffman Stadium | Yankees 11, Royals 5 |
| June 11 | Kauffman Stadium | Yankees 10, Royals 1 |
| June 10 | Kauffman Stadium | Yankees 4 , Royals 2 |
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