- The Royals are -175 favorites vs the White Sox
- Royals vs White Sox Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Royals / White Sox TV Channel: NSCH | BSKC
The Kansas City Royals (-175) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+145) on Monday, July 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Royals are 57-49 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 47-61 ATS.
Royals vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Alec Marsh 7-7, 4.77 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Chris Flexen 2-10, 5.29 ERA
Royals vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | -1.5 -110 | O 9 -105 | -175 |
| White Sox | +1.5 -110 | U 9 -115 | +145 |
Royals vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Monday‘s MLB game with 61.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 away games (+16.00 Units / 267% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 46 games (+12.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- Nick Loftin has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in 17 of his last 27 games (+12.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Nick Loftin has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.95 Units / 50% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 14 games at home (+13.50 Units / 96% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+11.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 40 games (+8.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+7.75 Units / 57% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+7.45 Units / 75% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 37 games (+10.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 59 of their last 102 games (+9.44 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+7.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.25 Units / 33% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 41 games (+8.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.55 Units / 42% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 60-46 against the Run Line (+5.84 Units / 4.06% ROI).
- 57-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.5 Units / 4.17% ROI
- 44-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.55 Units / -16.98% ROI
- 58-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.35 Units / 8.06% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 47-61 against the Run Line (-20.45 Units / -15.68% ROI).
- 27-81 when betting on the Moneyline for -45.3 Units / -40.76% ROI
- 48-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.55 Units / -10.6% ROI
- 55-48 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.85 Units / 2.43% ROI
White Sox vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
White Sox vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Michael Massey (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Andrew Benintendi (CWS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
White Sox vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Eloy Jimenez (CWS) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
White Sox vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Marsh (KC) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -135 |
| Chris Flexen (CWS) | 3.5 +110 | 3.5 -145 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alec Marsh has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 95.2 MPH on the first pitch of at-bats since last season (70 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: 90.2
Alec Marsh has walked 13 of 101 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Alec Marsh has allowed a slugging percentage of .714 (220 Total Bases / 308 ABs) in non-two strike counts since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: .573 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .417 (30-for-72) against Alec Marsh on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — tied for 11th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: .343 — ninth Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Flexen has a strike rate of just 55% (111/202) over the last 14 days — tied for lowest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.
Chris Flexen has allowed a slugging percentage of .561 (101 Total Bases / 180 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .398 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .300 (48-for-160) against Chris Flexen when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .229 — second Percentile.
Chris Flexen has a strikeout rate of just 13% (12 SO in 92 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — fourth Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Royals are just 26-55 (.321) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.
The Royals are just 46-66 (.411) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.
The Royals are just 16-58 (.216) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .378.
The Royals are just 20-99 (.168) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The White Sox are just 23-27 (.460) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .724.
The White Sox are just 67-30 (.691) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .858.
The White Sox are just 26-81 (.243) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The White Sox are just 9-31 (.225) after a road win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .481.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .281 (4,727 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Royals hitters have just 148 strikeouts in 854 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Royals won just 46% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
The Royals are batting .183 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .152.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .277 (3,895 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .286 (9,875 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .282 (7,673 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .298 (2,202 PA’s) against LHP since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .321.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in late innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals pitchers have walked 1 of 81 batters (1%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 2% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The White Sox have won just 11% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
The White Sox have won just 8% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox pitchers have won only 5% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Yoan Moncada (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, 60-Day IL
- Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Michael Soroka (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Braden Shewmake (Chicago White Sox): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Lane Ramsey (Chicago White Sox): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- MJ Melendez (Kansas City Royals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 60-Day IL
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