- The Royals are -190 favorites vs the White Sox
- Royals vs White Sox Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Royals / White Sox TV Channel: NSCH | BSKC
The Kansas City Royals (-200) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+165) on Tuesday, July 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Royals are 58-49 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 47-62 ATS.
Royals vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Michael Wacha 7-6, 3.68 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Jonathan Cannon 1-5, 4.43 ERA
Royals vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | -1.5 -120 | O 9 -115 | -200 |
| White Sox | +1.5 +100 | U 9 -105 | +165 |
Royals vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 63.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 away games (+15.00 Units / 214% ROI)
- Nick Loftin has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+12.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Nick Loftin has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+11.30 Units / 52% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in 17 of his last 28 games (+11.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Nick Loftin has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+10.20 Units / 58% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 15 games at home (+12.50 Units / 83% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 games at home (+10.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- Nicky Lopez has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+6.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.65 Units / 36% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 41 games (+6.50 Units / 11% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 60 of their last 103 games (+10.44 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 38 games (+9.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games (+6.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.25 Units / 38% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 42 games (+7.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.55 Units / 33% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 61-46 against the Run Line (+6.84 Units / 4.72% ROI).
- 58-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.5 Units / 4.86% ROI
- 45-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.55 Units / -15.97% ROI
- 58-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.15 Units / 6.95% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 47-62 against the Run Line (-21.55 Units / -16.38% ROI).
- 27-82 when betting on the Moneyline for -46.3 Units / -41.28% ROI
- 49-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.55 Units / -9.67% ROI
- 55-49 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.65 Units / 1.39% ROI
White Sox vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Michael Massey (KC) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
White Sox vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Freddy Fermin (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Eloy Jimenez (CWS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
White Sox vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Michael Massey (KC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
White Sox vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Cannon (CWS) | 3.5 +125 | 3.5 -160 |
| Michael Wacha (KC) | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -160 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Wacha has a first-pitch strike rate of just 48% (21/44) over the last 14 days — 3rd lowest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 63% — fifth Percentile.
Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 49% of the time (561/1,153) with two-strikes since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total CH; League Avg: 15% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 28% (106/384) against Michael Wacha with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 171 total IP; League Avg: 36% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 25% (66/261) against Michael Wacha with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: 36% — 99th Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .529 (9-for-17) against Jonathan Cannon when going through the lineup the first time in a game in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .223 — first Percentile.
Jonathan Cannon has a strikeout rate of just 21% (5 SO in 24 PAs) with two-strikes over the last 14 days — lowest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.
Jonathan Cannon has allowed an OBP of .556 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .278 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .529 (9-for-17) against Jonathan Cannon when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .236 — first Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Royals are just 21-99 (.175) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.
The Royals are just 40-56 (.417) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Royals are just 18-33 (.353) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Royals are just 38-42 (.475) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .622.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The White Sox are just 26-82 (.241) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The White Sox are just 49-127 (.278) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The White Sox are just 17-64 (.210) after a loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .511.
The White Sox are just 6-15 (.286) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .639.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have just 151 strikeouts in 862 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .282 (4,770 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Royals hitters are slugging .264 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Royals hitters have just 723 strikeouts in 3,922 PA’s (18%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 25% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .213 (5,272 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .286 (9,913 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 31% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Royals pitchers since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Royals pitchers this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 2% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The White Sox have won just 11% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
White Sox pitchers have won only 12% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 5.16 (1141.1 IP) on the road since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.35.
White Sox vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Yoan Moncada (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, 60-Day IL
- Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Michael Soroka (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Braden Shewmake (Chicago White Sox): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Lane Ramsey (Chicago White Sox): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- MJ Melendez (Kansas City Royals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 60-Day IL
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