Royals vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 31

MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
  • The Royals are -200 favorites vs the White Sox
  • Royals vs White Sox Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Royals / White Sox TV Channel: NSCH | BSKC

The Kansas City Royals (-200) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+165) on Wednesday, July 31, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Royals are 59-49 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 48-62 ATS.

Royals vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer 7-6, 2.82 ERA
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Drew Thorpe 3-2, 4.85 ERA

Royals vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Royals-1.5 -120O 9 -110-200
White Sox +1.5 +100U 9 -110+165

Royals vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 66.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Kyle Isbel has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 away games (+14.00 Units / 175% ROI)
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in 18 of his last 29 games (+12.25 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Brady Singer has hit the Earned Runs Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+11.90 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 46 games (+11.15 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 29 of his last 48 games (+11.05 Units / 14% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 15 games at home (+12.50 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Gavin Sheets has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+11.50 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Gavin Sheets has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.65 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Brooks Baldwin has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+5.80 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Nicky Lopez has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 16 games at home (+5.75 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 39 games (+10.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 60 of their last 104 games (+9.24 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+5.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 away games (+4.25 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 43 games (+8.25 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.50 Units / 25% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 61-47 against the Run Line (+5.64 Units / 3.86% ROI).

  • 59-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.5 Units / 5.53% ROI
  • 45-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.6 Units / -16.72% ROI
  • 59-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.15 Units / 7.73% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 48-62 against the Run Line (-20.55 Units / -15.5% ROI).

  • 27-83 when betting on the Moneyline for -47.3 Units / -41.8% ROI
  • 49-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.6 Units / -10.46% ROI
  • 56-49 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.65 Units / 2.22% ROI

White Sox vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) 0.5 +240 0.5 -300
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 +250 0.5 -300
MJ Melendez (KC) 0.5 +280 0.5 -350
Hunter Renfroe (KC) 0.5 +310 0.5 -400
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) 0.5 +333 0.5 -450

White Sox vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Maikel Garcia (KC) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Andrew Vaughn (CWS) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
MJ Melendez (KC) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Luis Robert (CWS) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

White Sox vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 -105 0.5 -125
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) 0.5 +105 0.5 -140
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) 0.5 +125 0.5 -165
MJ Melendez (KC) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Michael Massey (KC) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190

White Sox vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brady Singer (KC) 5.5 +110 5.5 -145
Drew Thorpe (CWS) 3.5 +115 3.5 -150

Brady Singer has allowed a just .254 SLG vs right-handed batters (tied for second best)– 98th Percentile and .496 vs left-handed batters this season (third worst among qualified SPs)– fifth Percentile.

Brady Singer allowed a batting average of just .176 vs right-handed batters (third best)– 97th Percentile and .282 vs left-handed batters this season (fourth worst among qualified SPs)– seventh Percentile.

Brady Singer has thrown his slider 47% of the time (903/1,926) against right-handed batters since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 96th Percentile.

Brady Singer has thrown low pitches 60% of the time (293/490) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 41% — 97th Percentile.

White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Drew Thorpe has a strikeout rate of just 8% (3 SO in 36 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.

Drew Thorpe has thrown his changeup 33% of the time (98/302) this month (4 games) — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total CH; League Avg: 15% — 95th Percentile.

Drew Thorpe has allowed an OPS of .909 (36 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .694 — 11th Percentile.

Drew Thorpe has thrown his changeup 41% of the time (59/145) vs left-handed batters this month (4 games) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total CH; League Avg: 19% — 98th Percentile.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Royals are just 22-99 (.182) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.

The Royals are just 46-66 (.411) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.

The Royals are just 40-56 (.417) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.

The Royals are just 25-42 (.373) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .560.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The White Sox are just 6-16 (.273) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .638.

The White Sox are just 9-31 (.225) after a road win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .480.

The White Sox are just 10-11 (.476) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .760.

The White Sox are just 16-39 (.291) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .527.

Royals hitters have just 151 strikeouts in 869 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Royals won only 28% of their road games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Royals hitters are slugging .263 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .210.

Royals hitters have just 725 strikeouts in 3,957 PA’s (18%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 24% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .288 (4,939 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .321.

The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 12% this month (24 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 32% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Royals pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Royals pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Royals pitchers have an ERA of 2.71 (272.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.10.

The White Sox have won just 11% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 10% of the time since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

White Sox pitchers have won only 5% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

White Sox pitchers have won only 13% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

White Sox vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Yoan Moncada (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, 60-Day IL
  • Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Michael Soroka (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Braden Shewmake (Chicago White Sox): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
  • Lane Ramsey (Chicago White Sox): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
  • Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • MJ Melendez (Kansas City Royals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
  • Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 60-Day IL

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.