- The Yankees are -145 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Royals / Yankees TV Channel: YES | BSKC
The Kansas City Royals (+120) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-145) on Tuesday, September 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.
This season, the Royals are 79-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 76-68 ATS.
Royals vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Seth Lugo 15-8, 3.05 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman 10-7, 4.07 ERA
Royals vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -175 | O 8.5 -105 | +120 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +145 | U 8.5 -115 | -145 |
Royals vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Paul DeJong has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 11 away games (+23.00 Units / 209% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 40 games (+14.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Hits Under in 25 of his last 44 games (+11.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- Seth Lugo has hit the Earned Runs Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+11.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Total Bases Under in 25 of his last 44 games (+10.50 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Singles Over in 38 of his last 50 games (+23.70 Units / 38% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 50 games (+22.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- Austin Wells has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+14.85 Units / 67% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 44 games (+14.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 13 games at home (+13.25 Units / 70% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 79 of their last 141 games (+8.39 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 28 away games (+7.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 41 games (+5.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 28 away games (+5.30 Units / 16% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 56 of their last 87 games (+23.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 61 of their last 110 games (+14.75 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.30 Units / 4% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 80-65 against the Run Line (+4.79 Units / 2.45% ROI).
- 79-66 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.15 Units / 5.02% ROI
- 65-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.05 Units / -10.19% ROI
- 74-65 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.85 Units / 1.16% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 76-68 against the Run Line (+11.05 Units / 6.32% ROI).
- 83-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.4 Units / -5.85% ROI
- 79-61 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.3 Units / 7.1% ROI
- 61-79 when betting on the total runs Under for -25.65 Units / -16.24% ROI
Yankees vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Yankees vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Tommy Pham (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Freddy Fermin (KC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Yankees vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
Yankees vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcus Stroman (NYY) | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 +105 |
| Seth Lugo (KC) | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (39/232) against Seth Lugo on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.
Seth Lugo has walked 12 of 261 batters (5%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 89th Percentile.
Seth Lugo has a strikeout rate of just 20% (51 SO in 261 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 13th Percentile.
Seth Lugo has thrown his curveball 33% of the time (923/2,774) vs left-handed batters since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total CB; League Avg: 17% — 97th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Marcus Stroman has located his pitches away 60% of the time (1,469/2,448) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 99th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has located his fastballs down 54% of the time (1,123/2,100) since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 98th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has not allowed a HR in any of his last six starts dating back to August 2nd — Shawn Armstrong has the longest active streak at 14.
Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of 59% (135/229) against Marcus Stroman when he’s behind in the count since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 98th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Royals are just 24-102 (.190) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.
The Royals are just 14-76 (.156) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .303.
The Royals are just 43-46 (.483) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .625.
The Royals are just 5-26 (.161) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Yankees are 27-20 (.574) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Yankees are 44-10 (.815) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Yankees are 27-15 (.643) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .467.
The Yankees are 75-23 (.765) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .625.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .287 (5,592 PA’s) on the road since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Royals hitters have drawn 80 walks in 1,299 PA’s (6%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Royals won only 28% of their road games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Royals hitters have just 758 strikeouts in 4,053 PA’s (19%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 194 walks in 1,622 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 85 walks in 702 PA’s (12%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 468 walks in 4,339 PA’s (11%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against LHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 25% against Royals pitchers since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .205 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .212 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .229 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .256.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- New York Yankees – No Injuries Reported
- Kansas City Royals – No Injuries Reported
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