- The Yankees are -145 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Royals / Yankees TV Channel: AMZP | BSKC | MLBN
The Kansas City Royals (+120) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-145) on Wednesday, September 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.
This season, the Royals are 80-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 76-69 ATS.
Royals vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Cole Ragans 11-9, 3.34 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Luis Gil 13-6, 3.24 ERA
Royals vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -185 | O 8 -110 | +120 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +150 | U 8 -110 | -145 |
Royals vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Paul DeJong has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 12 away games (+22.00 Units / 183% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 31 of his last 41 games (+15.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+12.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Total Bases Under in 25 of his last 45 games (+9.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+7.85 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Singles Over in 38 of his last 50 games (+23.70 Units / 38% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 47 games (+22.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- Austin Wells has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 18 games at home (+13.85 Units / 60% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 45 games (+13.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 13 games at home (+13.25 Units / 70% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 80 of their last 142 games (+9.39 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 29 away games (+8.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 29 away games (+6.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.75 Units / 47% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 56 of their last 88 games (+22.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 61 of their last 111 games (+13.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.90 Units / 22% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 81-65 against the Run Line (+5.79 Units / 2.94% ROI).
- 80-66 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.35 Units / 5.65% ROI
- 65-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.05 Units / -10.75% ROI
- 75-65 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.85 Units / 1.77% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 76-69 against the Run Line (+10.05 Units / 5.71% ROI).
- 83-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.8 Units / -6.42% ROI
- 79-62 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.3 Units / 6.43% ROI
- 62-79 when betting on the total runs Under for -24.65 Units / -15.49% ROI
Yankees vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Yankees vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Tommy Pham (KC) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Freddy Fermin (KC) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
Yankees vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Yankees vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Gil (NYY) | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +120 |
| Cole Ragans (KC) | 6.5 -135 | 6.5 +105 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .556 (15 GB hits out of 27 GBs) against Cole Ragans with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .242 — 0 Percentile.
Cole Ragans has thrown inside pitches 41% of the time (285/690) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 28% — 96th Percentile.
Cole Ragans has allowed an OPS of just .523 (261 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .674 — 95th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .176 (42-for-239) against Cole Ragans when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 96th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Gil had a first-pitch strike rate of just 29% (6/21) in his last start — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .131 (23-for-175) against Luis Gil versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .253 — 100th Percentile.
Luis Gil has walked 68 of 545 batters (12%) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Luis Gil has a first-pitch strike rate of just 29% (6/21) over the past seven days (1 games) — lowest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Royals are just 24-102 (.190) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.
The Royals are just 14-76 (.156) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .303.
The Royals are just 46-66 (.411) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.
The Royals are 26-13 (.667) after a home win this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .515.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Yankees are 27-20 (.574) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Yankees are 27-15 (.643) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .467.
The Yankees are 44-10 (.815) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Yankees are 75-23 (.765) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .625.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .287 (5,630 PA’s) on the road since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Royals hitters have just 247 strikeouts in 1,306 PA’s (19%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Royals have won just 47% of games in which they have scored first on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
The Royals won just 55% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters are slugging .453 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Yankees hitters have drawn 194 walks in 1,625 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 85 walks in 708 PA’s (12%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Yankees are batting just .242 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .205 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .213 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Yankees pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Yankees vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- New York Yankees – No Injuries Reported
- Kansas City Royals – No Injuries Reported
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