- The Astros are -175 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers vs Astros Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Tigers / Astros TV Channel: ABC
The Detroit Tigers (+145) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-175) on Wednesday, October 2, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:32pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Tigers are 87-76 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 81-81 ATS.
Tigers vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tyler Holton 7-2, 2.19 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown 11-9, 3.51 ERA
Tigers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -150 | O 7.5 -115 | +145 |
| Astros | -1.5 +125 | U 7.5 -105 | -175 |
Tigers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 76 games (+22.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 49 of their last 78 games (+20.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 51 games (+13.30 Units / 24% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 145 games (+20.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 73 of their last 123 games (+16.25 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games (+16.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 58 of their last 104 games (+14.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 55 of their last 89 games (+10.00 Units / 7% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 88-75 against the Run Line (+5.6 Units / 2.55% ROI).
- 87-76 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.8 Units / 2.93% ROI
- 78-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.65 Units / -4.84% ROI
- 79-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.9 Units / -3.84% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 81-81 against the Run Line (+1.4 Units / 0.7% ROI).
- 88-74 when betting on the Moneyline for -10 Units / -4.2% ROI
- 65-92 when betting on the total runs Over for -35.6 Units / -20.09% ROI
- 92-65 when betting on the total runs Under for +20 Units / 11.14% ROI
Astros vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Astros vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Astros vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Astros vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hunter Brown (HOU) | 6.5 +130 | 6.5 -165 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Holton has allowed an OBP of just .195 (267 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since last season — best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .312 — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Holton has allowed an OBP of just .227 (675 PA’s) since last season — best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .309 — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .150 (38-for-253) against Tyler Holton since last season — 2nd best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — 98th Percentile.
Tyler Holton has allowed an OPS of just .410 (280 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season — best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .675 — 100th Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 29% (69/238) against Hunter Brown on fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .279 (85-for-305) against Hunter Brown this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — ninth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (96/158) against Hunter Brown on sliders since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 52% (120/229) against Hunter Brown this season — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 86th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Tigers are 17-54 (.239) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Tigers are 36-5 (.878) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .712.
The Tigers are just 25-58 (.301) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Tigers are just 30-118 (.203) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Astros are just 0-55 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Astros are just 12-23 (.343) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 61-39 (.610) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .465.
The Astros are 82-58 (.586) after a road win since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .485.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .661 (13,672 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
The Tigers are batting just .313 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .301 (9,334 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .367 against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (2,587/18,414 PA’s) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,746/12,360 PA’s) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.66 pitches per plate appearance this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 416 of 5,969 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 357 of 4,323 batters (8%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 892 of 12,042 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 3.45 (930.0 IP) against division opponents since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.19.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers this season is 388.2 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 397.5
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.51 (2115.1 IP) on the road since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.25.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Houston Astros – No Injuries Reported
- Detroit Tigers – No Injuries Reported
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