The Detroit Tigers (+105) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-125) on Tuesday, March 26, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 12:35pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.
This season, the Tigers are 11-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 11-11 ATS.
Tigers vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +105 |
| Rays | -125 |
Tigers vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 55.7% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Andy Ibanez has hit the RBIs Over in his last 3 games (+5.90 Units / 197% ROI)
- Andre Lipcius has hit the Singles Over in 3 of his last 5 away games (+2.15 Units / 43% ROI)
- Jake Rogers has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Rene Pinto has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Raimel Tapia has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games (+3.95 Units / 198% ROI)
- Curtis Mead has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Harold Ramirez has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+18.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 78 away games (+16.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 78 away games (+16.52 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 48 away games (+12.79 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 80 games at home (+18.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 94 of their last 164 games (+14.09 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 44 games (+13.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 47 of their last 82 games at home (+8.36 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 99 of their last 164 games (+8.05 Units / 3% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Tigers are 9-10 against the Run Line (-2 Units / -5.13% ROI).
- 11-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 26.27% ROI
- 5-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.2 Units / -44.76% ROI
- 13-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +2 Units / 36.73% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Rays are 11-11 against the Run Line (+2 Units / -5.17% ROI).
- 7-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.3 Units / -25.15% ROI
- 12-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.1 Units / 3.14% ROI
- 10-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.05 Units / -13.31% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Casey Mize has not allowed a walk in his last 68 PAs against a RHH dating back to August 24th, 2021 — Andrew Kittredge has the longest active streak at 138.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryan Pepiot allowed an OBP of just .220 (159 PA’s) in the 2023 season — best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .312 — 100th Percentile.
Ryan Pepiot allowed an OBP of just .147 (75 PA’s) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — best among in NL; League Avg: .316 — 100th Percentile.
Ryan Pepiot allowed a BABIP of .089 vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — best among in NL; League Avg: .285 — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed batters hit just .111 (8-for-72) against Ryan Pepiot in the 2023 season — 2nd best among in NL; League Avg: .229 — 98th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Tigers were 31-9 (.775) when they scored in the first inning in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .611.
The Tigers are just 20-126 (.137) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.
The Tigers are just 32-41 (.438) after a home win since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
The Tigers were just 4-6 (.400) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Rays were just 4-12 (.250) after a win as underdogs in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .433.
The Rays are just 11-26 (.297) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .417.
The Rays were 39-23 (.629) after a loss in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Rays were 16-6 (.727) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Tigers batted just .241 against LHP in the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Tigers hitters slugged just .377 against RHP in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Tigers have answered-back in just 21% of innings after an opponent scores in late innings since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Tigers hitters had an OBP of just .302 (4,707 PA’s) against RHP in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .312 with runners on base in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .284 in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers had an ERA of 2.93 (464.0 IP) against division opponents in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.
Tigers pitchers won only 16% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 52% of their games on the road since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
The Tigers have won just 26% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers walked 439 of 5,994 batters (7%) in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 45% against Rays pitchers in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, Out
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Out
- Dillon Dingler (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Riley Greene (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, Out
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Kerry Carpenter (Detroit Tigers): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Mason Englert (Detroit Tigers): Hip, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
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