- The Royals are -160 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers vs Royals Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Tigers / Royals TV Channel: BSDT | BSKC
The Detroit Tigers (+135) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-160) on Tuesday, September 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the Tigers are 78-73 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 85-66 ATS.
Tigers vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Casey Mize 2-6, 4.46 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Cole Ragans 11-9, 3.34 ERA
Tigers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -155 | O 8 -115 | +135 |
| Royals | -1.5 +125 | U 8 -105 | -160 |
Tigers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 56.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Colt Keith has hit the Hits Over in his last 15 away games (+16.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- Wenceel Perez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 11 away games (+16.50 Units / 150% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 23 away games (+11.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 19 away games (+11.35 Units / 48% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 21 away games (+10.65 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 36 games (+18.55 Units / 52% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 35 of his last 46 games (+17.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 29 games (+11.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+9.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Walks Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.10 Units / 28% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 64 games (+20.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 66 games (+15.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 35 away games (+12.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 9 games (+9.90 Units / 110% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 77% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 74 games at home (+13.64 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 74 games at home (+10.50 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 39 of their last 74 games at home (+9.55 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 40 of their last 68 games (+8.59 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 55 games at home (+8.35 Units / 13% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 81-70 against the Run Line (+3.5 Units / 1.72% ROI).
- 78-73 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.6 Units / 1.47% ROI
- 74-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.75 Units / -1.08% ROI
- 69-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.45 Units / -7.63% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 85-66 against the Run Line (+9.88 Units / 4.84% ROI).
- 82-69 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.9 Units / 4.71% ROI
- 67-78 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.3 Units / -11.16% ROI
- 78-67 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.6 Units / 2.17% ROI
Royals vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Michael Massey (KC) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Royals vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Michael Massey (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Royals vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Michael Massey (KC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Freddy Fermin (KC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Tommy Pham (KC) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
Royals vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cole Ragans (KC) | 7.5 +120 | 7.5 -155 |
| Casey Mize (DET) | 3.5 +125 | 3.5 -165 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have chased just 59 of Casey Mize’s 302 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 20%) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: 31% — second Percentile.
Casey Mize has allowed an OPS of .990 (100 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: .706 — first Percentile.
Casey Mize has a strikeout rate of just 12% (12 SO in 103 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: 22% — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .308 (48-for-156) against Casey Mize when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: .246 — fifth Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .556 (15 GB hits out of 27 GBs) against Cole Ragans with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: .242 — 0 Percentile.
Cole Ragans has a first-pitch strike rate of just 58% (415/713) this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — eighth Percentile.
Cole Ragans has allowed an OBP of just .238 (269 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — 94th Percentile.
Cole Ragans has allowed an OBP of just .192 (417 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 91st Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Tigers are 16-51 (.239) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Tigers are 37-4 (.902) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .751.
The Tigers are 11-52 (.175) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .101.
The Tigers are just 63-69 (.477) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Royals are just 24-103 (.189) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.
The Royals are just 46-66 (.411) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.
The Royals are just 4-48 (.077) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .197.
The Royals are just 25-42 (.373) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .560.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .293 (13,426 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .660 (13,426 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .301 (9,088 PA’s) against RHP since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .297 (17,563 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have just 252 strikeouts in 1,332 PA’s (19%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Royals won only 28% of their road games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Royals are batting .180 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .290 (8,854 PA’s) on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 387 of 5,565 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 348 of 4,223 batters (8%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Tigers pitchers over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .283 against Royals pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .256.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kansas City Royals – No Injuries Reported
- Detroit Tigers – No Injuries Reported
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