- The Tigers are -135 favorites vs the Royals
- Tigers vs Royals Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Tigers / Royals TV Channel: BSDT | BSKC | MLBN
The Detroit Tigers (-135) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+115) on Wednesday, September 18, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the Tigers are 79-73 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 85-67 ATS.
Tigers vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 16-4, 2.51 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Alec Marsh 8-8, 4.55 ERA
Tigers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | -1.5 +135 | O 7.5 +100 | -135 |
| Royals | +1.5 -160 | U 7.5 -120 | +115 |
Tigers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 61.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Colt Keith has hit the Hits Over in his last 16 away games (+17.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- Wenceel Perez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 11 away games (+16.50 Units / 150% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 35 games (+12.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+12.35 Units / 49% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 22 away games (+12.25 Units / 54% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 36 of his last 47 games (+18.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 37 games (+17.55 Units / 47% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 30 games (+12.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 26 games (+10.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Walks Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.10 Units / 28% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 65 games (+21.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 16 games (+17.60 Units / 110% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 67 games (+17.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 16 games (+16.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 36 away games (+11.35 Units / 26% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 75 games at home (+12.64 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 39 of their last 75 games at home (+9.55 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 75 games at home (+8.90 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 40 of their last 69 games (+7.59 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.50 Units / 39% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 82-70 against the Run Line (+4.5 Units / 2.19% ROI).
- 79-73 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.95 Units / 2.22% ROI
- 74-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.85 Units / -1.74% ROI
- 70-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.45 Units / -6.97% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 85-67 against the Run Line (+8.88 Units / 4.33% ROI).
- 82-70 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.3 Units / 3.83% ROI
- 67-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.4 Units / -11.75% ROI
- 79-67 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.6 Units / 2.75% ROI
Royals vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
Royals vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Tommy Pham (KC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Parker Meadows (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Royals vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Royals vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tarik Skubal (DET) | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -135 |
| Alec Marsh (KC) | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -140 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .123 (19-for-154) against Tarik Skubal’s elevated fastball this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .208 — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has 52 three-pitch strikeouts this season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .116 (45-for-388) against Tarik Skubal with two-strikes this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .163 — 95th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has allowed an OPS of just .329 (410 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .486 — 98th Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alec Marsh has a strikeout rate of 48% (13 SO in 27 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (3 games) — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Alec Marsh has walked 4 of 116 batters (3%) with runners in scoring position this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 20% (2/10) against Alec Marsh in his last start — 4th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 43% — fourth Percentile.
Alec Marsh has allowed an OPS of 1.090 (27 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (3 games) — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .679 — sixth Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Tigers are 16-51 (.239) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .142.
The Tigers are 5-56 (.082) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .051.
The Tigers are 34-5 (.872) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The Tigers are 11-52 (.175) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Royals are just 24-104 (.188) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .361.
The Royals are just 25-42 (.373) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .560.
The Royals are just 20-63 (.241) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .374.
The Royals are just 4-48 (.077) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .197.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Tigers are batting just .314 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .293 (13,436 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .301 (9,098 PA’s) against RHP since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .660 (13,436 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have just 1,065 strikeouts in 5,628 PA’s (19%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Royals won just 46% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
The Royals won only 28% of their road games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Royals hitters have just 811 strikeouts in 4,290 PA’s (19%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 44% against Tigers pitchers this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 348 of 4,233 batters (8%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 393 of 5,605 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .282 against Royals pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .256.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 22% in close and late situations since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Royals vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kansas City Royals – No Injuries Reported
- Detroit Tigers – No Injuries Reported
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