- The Twins are -175 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers vs Twins Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Tigers / Twins TV Channel: BSNO | BSDT | ESPN+
The Detroit Tigers (+140) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-165) on Wednesday, July 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Tigers are 38-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 41-44 ATS.
Tigers vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Keider Montero 0-2, 9.36 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: David Festa 1-0, 9.01 ERA
Tigers vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -140 | O 9 -120 | +140 |
| Twins | -1.5 +115 | U 9 +100 | -165 |
Tigers vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 58.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Tigers vs Twins and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Vierling has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 26 games (+22.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+14.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- Gio Urshela has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.95 Units / 56% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Royce Lewis has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 9 games at home (+18.15 Units / 202% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 24 games (+15.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 27 games (+11.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 35 games (+11.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+9.85 Units / 19% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 21 away games (+10.25 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 21 away games (+9.70 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 68 games (+9.05 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 7 games (+0.15 Units / 2% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 43 of their last 68 games (+13.95 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 65 games (+10.00 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 9 games (+9.55 Units / 94% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.50 Units / 31% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 37-48 against the Run Line (-16.8 Units / -14.69% ROI).
- 38-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.15 Units / -13.31% ROI
- 44-35 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.15 Units / 5.68% ROI
- 35-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.3 Units / -14.79% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 41-44 against the Run Line (-4.15 Units / -3.84% ROI).
- 48-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.05 Units / 0.89% ROI
- 41-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.9 Units / -3.14% ROI
- 40-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.15 Units / -5.57% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Keider Montero threw at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 38% (6/16) of opposing batters — 5th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — second Percentile.
Keider Montero has thrown off-speed pitches 57% of the time (16/28) when he’s behind in the count over the last 14 days — 10th highest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 35% — 86th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .318 (7-for-22) against David Festa over the past seven days (1 games) — 8th highest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: .230 — 15th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (6/43) against David Festa over the past seven days (1 games) — tied for 5th lowest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 24% — ninth Percentile.
David Festa has a strikeout rate of just 9% (2 SO in 23 PAs) over the past seven days (1 games) — 3rd lowest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 23% — fourth Percentile.
David Festa has thrown off-speed pitches 64% of the time (29/45) vs left-handed batters over the past seven days (1 games) — 7th highest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 48% — 88th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Tigers are just 40-53 (.430) after a home win since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
The Tigers are just 6-12 (.333) after a home win this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.
The Tigers are just 24-35 (.407) after a home win since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Tigers are just 25-8 (.758) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Twins are 110-1 (.991) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Twins are 22-78 (.220) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .142.
The Twins are 39-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .944.
The Twins are 52-17 (.754) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .620.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Tigers are batting just .307 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .290 (11,484 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .649 (11,484 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .431 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .564.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting .281 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Twins hitters have an OPS of .793 (807 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Twins hitters have 47 extra-base hits out of 96 total hits (49%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Twins have scored 1.77 runs per game (436/247) in late innings since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.45.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 36% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 309 of 3,626 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 220 of 3,148 batters (7%) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 696 of 9,221 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% versus the bottom of the order this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Twins pitchers have walked 1,130 of 15,213 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have walked 662 of 9,171 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
Bet now on Tigers vs Twins and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
