Tigers vs. Guardians ALDS Prediction: Game 5 Best Bet for Oct. 12

Shane Jackson @Sjacksonmgm Oct 12, 2024, 10:43 AM
  • Get expert MLB playoff betting predictions for the Tigers vs. Guardians ALDS matchup.
  • The Tigers are -120 to win Saturdayโ€™s Game 5.

A pair of division rivals will clash in a do-or-die Game 5 on Saturday when the Cleveland Guardians host the Detroit Tigers.

The Guardians forced this high-stakes matchup with a 5-4 win over the Tigers in Game 4 of the ALDS. Pinch-hitter David Fry launched a go-ahead, two-run homer in the seventh inning and bunted home an insurance run in the ninth.

With Tarik Skubal getting the nod on Saturday, the Tigers are betting favorites to advance to the ALCS.

Here is a look at the latest MLB betting lines for Tigers vs. Guardians and my best bet ahead of Game 5:

MLB Playoff Odds – Tigers vs. Guardians

  • Tigers Moneyline: -120
  • Guardians Moneyline: +100
  • Over/Under: 6 (Over +100/-120)

Tigers vs. Guardians Schedule, Pitchers, TV Info

GameDate/TimeTigers SPGuardians SPTV
Game 5Saturday at 1:08 p.m. ETTarik SkubalMatthew BoydTBS

Tigers vs. Guardians Prediction, Game 5 Best Bet

Best bet: Tigers F5 Moneyline (-140)

The latest MLB postseason odds illustrate how big of an advantage the Tigers have with Skubal on the mound.ย 

Detroitโ€™s F5 moneyline price is 20 cents more expensive than the full-game market.

I still think itโ€™s worth paying up to back Skubal at -145 or better, given how impressive he has been this postseason. Skubal hasnโ€™t allowed a run across 13 playoff innings, holding Cleveland to three hits over seven frames in Game 2.

Skubal, who is expected to win the AL Cy Young award this year, posted a 2.39 ERA in 31 regular-season starts. He struck out 228 batters and walked 35 in 192 innings of work.

I expect the Tigers to set the tone in Game 5.

Tigers vs. Guardians: Betting Stats

  • Detroit Tigers 2024 Moneyline Record: 90-78
  • Detroit Tigers 2024 Over/Under Record: 79-82
  • Cleveland Guardians 2024 Moneyline Record: 94-71
  • Cleveland Guardians 2024 Over/Under Record: 70-85

Tigers vs. Guardians 2024 Season Series

DateLocationResult
Oct. 10Comerica ParkGuardians 5, Tigers 4
Oct. 9Comerica ParkTigers 3, Guardians 0
Oct. 7Progressive FieldTigers 3, Guardians 0
Oct. 5Progressive FieldGuardians 7, Tigers 0
July 30Comerica ParkGuardians 5, Tigers 0
July 29Comerica ParkGuardians 8, Tigers 4
July 25Progressive FieldTigers 3, Guardians 0
July 24Progressive FieldGuardians 2, Tigers 1
July 23Progressive FieldGuardians 5, Tigers 4
July 22Progressive FieldTigers 8, Guardians 2
July 11Comerica ParkTigers 10, Guardians 1
July 10Comerica ParkTigers 5, Guardians 4
July 9Comerica ParkGuardians 9, Tigers 8
July 8Comerica ParkTigers 1, Guardians 0
May 8Progressive FieldGuardians 2, Tigers 1
May 7Progressive FieldTigers 11, Guardians 7
May 6Progressive FieldGuardians 5, Tigers 4

Visit the online sportsbook for game odds and futures odds throughout the playoffs, including Guardians World Series odds and Tigers World Series odds.

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.