- The Angels are -125 favorites vs the Twins
- Twins vs Angels Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Twins / Angels TV Channel: BSNO | BSW
The Minnesota Twins (+105) visit Angel Stadium of Anaheim to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-125) on Saturday, April 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim, CA.
This season, the Twins are 12-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 13-13 ATS.
Twins vs Angels Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Chris Paddack 1-1, 5.58 ERA
- Angels starting pitcher: Jose Soriano 0-3, 3.49 ERA
Twins vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Twins | +1.5 -190 | O 8.5 -115 | +105 |
Angels | -1.5 +155 | U 8.5 -105 | -125 |
Twins vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Edouard Julien has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 17 games (+18.10 Units / 106% ROI)
- Byron Buxton has hit the Singles Over in his last 5 games (+8.50 Units / 170% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+8.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 21 games (+8.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- Austin Martin has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+8.05 Units / 101% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Taylor Ward has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 25 games (+18.60 Units / 74% ROI)
- Nolan Schanuel has hit the Singles Over in his last 8 games (+8.75 Units / 100% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 25 games (+8.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- Nolan Schanuel has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Nolan Schanuel has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 62% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+13.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 77 games (+13.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 games (+6.64 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 22 away games (+5.41 Units / 21% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+13.19 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 76 games (+11.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.66 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 37 games (+4.97 Units / 11% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 12-13 against the Run Line (-3.5 Units / -10.53% ROI).
- 12-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.95 Units / -12.06% ROI
- 11-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.25 Units / -4.7% ROI
- 11-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.2 Units / -4.58% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 13-13 against the Run Line (-5.85 Units / -14.53% ROI).
- 10-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.2 Units / -19.22% ROI
- 13-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.55 Units / -1.9% ROI
- 12-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.35 Units / -8.33% ROI
Angels vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Mike Trout (LAA) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
Miguel Sano (LAA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Brandon Drury (LAA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Taylor Ward (LAA) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Angels vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Taylor Ward (LAA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Brandon Drury (LAA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Mike Trout (LAA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Luis Rengifo (LAA) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
Angels vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Mike Trout (LAA) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Brandon Drury (LAA) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Taylor Ward (LAA) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Miguel Sano (LAA) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Angels vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .529 (9-for-17) against Chris Paddack when going through the lineup the second time in a game — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .221 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .529 (9-for-17) against Chris Paddack when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .236 — first Percentile.
Chris Paddack has allowed an OPS of 1.438 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .632 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .419 (18-for-43) against Chris Paddack on the road this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .245 — second Percentile.
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .083 (10-for-121) against Jose Soriano with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best among AL Relievers; League Avg: .160 — 98th Percentile.
Jose Soriano has allowed a slugging percentage of just .222 (22 Total Bases / 99 ABs) vs left-handed batters since last season — 4th best among AL Relievers; League Avg: .366 — 96th Percentile.
Jose Soriano has a strikeout rate of 53% (45 SO in 85 PAs) on low non-fastballs since last season — 4th best among AL Relievers; League Avg: 36% — 96th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .172 (17-for-99) against Jose Soriano since last season — tied for 8th best among AL Relievers; League Avg: .232 — 91st Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Twins are 20-60 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Twins are just 14-29 (.326) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 32-47 (.405) after a road win since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .492.
The Twins are 11-144 (.071) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Angels are just 13-147 (.081) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .132.
The Angels are just 36-23 (.610) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .734.
The Angels are just 56-26 (.683) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .787.
The Angels are just 66-12 (.846) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting just .148 with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .171.
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .267 (105 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .332.
Twins hitters are slugging just .128 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .221.
Twins hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .275 (1,012 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Angels hitters have chased 9% of pitches out of the zone in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Angels are batting just .222 with two outs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
The Angels have won just 38% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 79%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 48% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 180 of 1,664 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 17 of 115 batters (15%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 302 of 3,104 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Angels pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Angels vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Michael Stefanic (Los Angeles Angels): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Sam Bachman (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Mickey Moniak (Los Angeles Angels): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Austin Warren (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Robert Stephenson (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Aaron Loup (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
- Randal Grichuk (Los Angeles Angels): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Kelvin Caceres (Los Angeles Angels): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Jose Quijada (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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