- The Twins are -175 favorites vs the Athletics
- Twins vs Athletics Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Twins / Athletics TV Channel: BSNO | NSCA
The Minnesota Twins (-175) visit Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+145) on Saturday, June 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Oakland, CA.
This season, the Twins are 41-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 40-38 ATS.
Twins vs Athletics Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Bailey Ober 6-4, 4.83 ERA
- Athletics starting pitcher: JP Sears 4-6, 4.27 ERA
Twins vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 -105 | O 8 -110 | -175 |
| Athletics | +1.5 -115 | U 8 -110 | +145 |
Twins vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 64.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Carlos Santana has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 21 away games (+25.80 Units / 123% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 26 games (+10.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- Manuel Margot has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+10.20 Units / 41% ROI)
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 26 games (+9.95 Units / 29% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+9.85 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Zack Gelof has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games at home (+28.40 Units / 355% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 29 of his last 48 games (+12.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+11.95 Units / 41% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 22 games at home (+11.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+11.15 Units / 35% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 59 games (+11.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 56 games (+5.35 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 37 games (+4.30 Units / 11% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+8.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 23 games (+5.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 27 games at home (+4.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.80 Units / 35% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 33-43 against the Run Line (-13.7 Units / -14.01% ROI).
- 41-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.6 Units / -3.38% ROI
- 35-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.7 Units / -6.91% ROI
- 37-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.75 Units / -2.12% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 40-38 against the Run Line (-5.2 Units / -5.3% ROI).
- 29-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.9 Units / -9.75% ROI
- 34-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.35 Units / -13.31% ROI
- 41-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.85 Units / 3.3% ROI
Athletics vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brent Rooker (OAK) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Shea Langeliers (OAK) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Athletics vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Miguel Andujar (OAK) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Willi Castro (MIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Max Schuemann (OAK) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Athletics vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Brent Rooker (OAK) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Athletics vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bailey Ober (MIN) | 6.5 -105 | 6.5 -120 |
| JP Sears (OAK) | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -160 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bailey Ober has thrown fastballs up 76% of the time (1,474/1,948) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 158 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Bailey Ober has allowed a slugging percentage of .667 (42 Total Bases / 63 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: .366 — 0 Percentile.
Bailey Ober has thrown fastballs up 85% of the time (429/506) with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: 55% — 100th Percentile.
Bailey Ober has thrown fastballs up 76% of the time (1,158/1,529) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
JP Sears has a strikeout rate of just 15% (14 SO in 91 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — first Percentile.
JP Sears has allowed a slugging percentage of .625 (20 Total Bases / 32 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .376 — fifth Percentile.
JP Sears has thrown his slider 47% of the time (164/348) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 21% — 97th Percentile.
JP Sears has thrown his slider 47% of the time (164/348) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 20% — 98th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Twins are just 21-32 (.396) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 41-28 (.594) after a home win since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .531.
The Twins are 17-89 (.160) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Twins are 50-17 (.746) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .618.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Athletics are just 15-55 (.214) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Athletics are just 43-79 (.352) after a home loss since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .520.
The Athletics are just 139-263 (.346) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Athletics are just 7-10 (.412) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .588.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting .283 with two-strikes over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .174.
Twins hitters have 585 extra-base hits out of 1,463 total hits (40%) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Twins are batting .246 with two-strikes this month (19 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .174.
Twins hitters are slugging .525 over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics are batting just .203 with two outs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.
The Athletics are batting just .220 since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .293 (2,308 PA’s) against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .290 (7,260 PA’s) at home since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have walked 645 of 8,856 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 29% with two-strikes over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 41%.
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 38% of the time after an opposing score since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% versus the bottom of the order since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Athletics vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Aledmys Diaz (Oakland Athletics): Calf, 60-Day IL
- Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, 15-Day IL
- James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
- Trevor Gott (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
- Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Luis Medina (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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