- The Twins are -120 favorites vs the Cubs
- Twins vs Cubs Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Twins / Cubs TV Channel: BSNO | MARQ
The Minnesota Twins (-125) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (+105) on Monday, August 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Twins are 62-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 55-59 ATS.
Twins vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: David Festa 1-2, 6.99 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Kyle Hendricks 3-9, 7.00 ERA
Twins vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +135 | O 8 -105 | -125 |
| Cubs | +1.5 -165 | U 8 -115 | +105 |
Twins vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Monday‘s MLB game with 56.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 14 games (+16.00 Units / 114% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 35 games (+11.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Walks Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+10.40 Units / 69% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+10.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 47% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Under in 30 of his last 35 games (+22.85 Units / 44% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 43 games (+22.50 Units / 52% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+20.20 Units / 81% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Under in 30 of his last 40 games (+18.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+14.60 Units / 25% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 44 games (+13.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 55 of their last 90 games (+9.80 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 34 games (+9.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.00 Units / 13% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 57 of their last 102 games (+12.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+11.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+10.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 27 games (+6.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+5.05 Units / 54% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 54-56 against the Run Line (-4.6 Units / -3.28% ROI).
- 62-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.85 Units / 0.54% ROI
- 57-48 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.45 Units / 3.72% ROI
- 48-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.85 Units / -12.36% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 55-59 against the Run Line (-15.65 Units / -9.95% ROI).
- 55-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.6 Units / -3.36% ROI
- 49-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.1 Units / -14.39% ROI
- 61-49 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.4 Units / 5.91% ROI
Cubs vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1100 |
Cubs vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Cubs vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Cubs vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| David Festa (MIN) | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +120 |
| Kyle Hendricks (CHC) | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +120 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
David Festa has allowed at least one HR in each of his last four games dating back to June 27th — Carlos Rodon has the longest active streak at 8.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Hendricks has thrown his changeup 58% of the time (567/978) with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 108 total CH; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has located his pitches away 67% of the time (650/978) with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 108 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has an average fastball velocity of just 87.4 MPH since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 173 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 — 0 Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has an ERA of 6.86 (85.1 IP)this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP; League Avg: 3.98 — first Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Twins are 24-8 (.750) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .633.
The Twins are 16-13 (.552) after a road win this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .461.
The Twins are just 25-33 (.431) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 189-4 (.979) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Cubs are just 121-9 (.931) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Cubs are just 42-10 (.808) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .895.
The Cubs are just 13-174 (.070) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.
The Cubs are 23-6 (.793) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .701.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have an OPS of .780 (3,298 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .700.
Twins hitters have an OPS of .794 (1,350 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .686.
The Twins have scored 1.82 runs per game (495/272) in late innings since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.45.
The Twins have scored 192 runs in innings 7-9 this season — most in MLB.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are averaging just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.87.
The Cubs are batting .163 on pitches out of the zone since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .151.
The Cubs are batting .164 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .153.
Cubs hitters have drawn 303 walks in 3,298 PA’s (9%) against RHP this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Twins pitchers have walked 286 of 4,070 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have walked 159 of 2,434 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have an ERA of 3.27 (506.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.96.
Cubs pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 33% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 91 of 1,010 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Cubs pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 52 double plays in 809 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cubs vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Shane Greene (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, 60-Day IL
- Ben Brown (Chicago Cubs): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Nick Madrigal (Chicago Cubs): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Matt Mervis (Chicago Cubs): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Luis Vazquez (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Yency Almonte (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Keegan Thompson (Chicago Cubs): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Wicks (Chicago Cubs): Oblique, 60-Day IL
- Hayden Wesneski (Chicago Cubs): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Luke Little (Chicago Cubs): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Adbert Alzolay (Chicago Cubs): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Byron Buxton (Minnesota Twins): Forearm, Day-To-Day
- Chris Paddack (Minnesota Twins): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Groin, 10-Day IL
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brent Headrick (Minnesota Twins): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Alex Kirilloff (Minnesota Twins): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jose Miranda (Minnesota Twins): Back, 10-Day IL
- Kyle Farmer (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Kody Funderburk (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
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