- The Twins are -105 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Twins vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Twins / Diamondbacks TV Channel: BSNO | DBTV | MLBN
The Minnesota Twins (-110) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-110) on Thursday, June 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Twins are 44-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 37-43 ATS.
Twins vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: David Festa 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery 6-4, 5.78 ERA
Twins vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +145 | O 9 -120 | -110 |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -175 | U 9 +100 | -110 |
Twins vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 51.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Twins vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Carlos Santana has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 25 away games (+21.80 Units / 87% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 24 games (+15.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 27 games (+11.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 35 games (+11.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- Manuel Margot has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 17 away games (+9.90 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christian Walker has hit the Walks Under in 32 of his last 37 games (+22.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 50 games (+16.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 34 games (+15.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 31 games (+13.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 34 games (+12.15 Units / 35% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 39 of their last 63 games (+11.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 60 games (+7.00 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 away games (+6.89 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.30 Units / 32% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+7.90 Units / 71% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games at home (+7.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 37 of their last 80 games (+6.00 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.50 Units / 25% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 36-44 against the Run Line (-11.4 Units / -11.18% ROI).
- 44-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.95 Units / -1.73% ROI
- 38-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.8 Units / -4.37% ROI
- 38-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -4 Units / -4.6% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 37-43 against the Run Line (-11.55 Units / -10.93% ROI).
- 39-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.9 Units / -5.92% ROI
- 39-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.15 Units / -4.67% ROI
- 39-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.3 Units / -3.78% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
Diamondbacks vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Diamondbacks vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Diamondbacks vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Montgomery (ARI) | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +110 |
| David Festa (MIN) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 35% (77/222) against Jordan Montgomery on elevated fastballs since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has had third base stolen on him 5 times this season — 2nd most in MLB — 99th Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has allowed an OBP of .322 (391 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — 13th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (38/62) against Jordan Montgomery in two-strike counts this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 96th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Twins are 107-1 (.991) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Twins are 175-4 (.978) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Twins are 36-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .943.
The Twins are 51-17 (.750) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .620.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Diamondbacks are 12-3 (.800) after a home loss this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .543.
The Diamondbacks are just 36-71 (.336) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Diamondbacks are just 149-24 (.861) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .904.
The Diamondbacks are just 7-16 (.304) after a home win this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have 1,768 strikeouts in 6,974 PA’s (25%) against RHP since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins hitters have 45 extra-base hits out of 93 total hits (48%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
The Twins have scored 1.88 runs per game (150/80) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.41.
Twins hitters have an OPS of .764 (972 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .681.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
27% of Diamondbacks hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Diamondbacks are batting .274 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Diamondbacks hitters have put just 36% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
The Diamondbacks have scored first in 67% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% versus the bottom of the order this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Twins pitchers have walked 206 of 2,955 batters (7%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have walked 45 of 709 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have struck out just 17% of left-handed batters they faced this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
Bet now on Twins vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
