- The Twins are -135 favorites vs the Giants
- Twins vs Giants Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Twins / Giants TV Channel: BSNO | NSBA
The Minnesota Twins (-135) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (+110) on Friday, July 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 10:15pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.
This season, the Twins are 53-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 46-48 ATS.
Twins vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Joe Ryan 6-5, 3.29 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Kyle Harrison 4-4, 4.26 ERA
Twins vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +135 | O 7.5 -105 | -135 |
| Giants | +1.5 -160 | U 7.5 -115 | +110 |
Twins vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Friday‘s MLB game with 58.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Carlos Santana has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 25 away games (+21.80 Units / 87% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 24 games (+15.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 27 games (+11.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 35 games (+11.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- Manuel Margot has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 17 away games (+9.90 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 34 games (+33.00 Units / 97% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+13.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.75 Units / 44% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 39 games (+10.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 24 games at home (+10.05 Units / 36% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 73 games (+10.20 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 27 games (+8.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 17 games (+7.95 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 11 away games (+0.20 Units / 2% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 53 games (+14.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 37 of their last 62 games (+9.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 54 games (+9.25 Units / 15% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 42 games at home (+8.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 42 games at home (+7.20 Units / 13% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 44-49 against the Run Line (-5.75 Units / -4.93% ROI).
- 53-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.25 Units / 0.95% ROI
- 46-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.05 Units / -1.04% ROI
- 43-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.75 Units / -7.64% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 46-48 against the Run Line (-5.95 Units / -4.77% ROI).
- 45-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.55 Units / -7.59% ROI
- 52-39 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.45 Units / 9.19% ROI
- 39-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.5 Units / -17.79% ROI
Giants vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Giants vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willi Castro (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Carlos Santana (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Giants vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Carlos Santana (MIN) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Giants vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Harrison (SF) | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +110 |
| Joe Ryan (MIN) | 6.5 -115 | 6.5 -115 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joe Ryan has a strikeout rate of 50% (9 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — 2nd best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 24% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .204 (10-for-49) against Joe Ryan on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .332 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitless in 15 AB’s against Joe Ryan in late innings this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 100th Percentile.
Joe Ryan has walked 5 of 162 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 95th Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Harrison has walked 4 of 17 batters (23%) this month (1 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Kyle Harrison has thrown elevated pitches 49% of the time (140/288) when behind in the count this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 99th Percentile.
Kyle Harrison has thrown fastballs 68% of the time (258/381) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 22% (108/485) against Kyle Harrison this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 29% — second Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Twins are 113-1 (.991) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Twins are 54-17 (.761) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .622.
The Twins are 15-27 (.357) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .198.
The Twins are 23-81 (.221) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .140.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Giants are 7-4 (.636) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Giants are just 41-73 (.360) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .460.
The Giants are just 25-45 (.357) after a road loss since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .470.
The Giants are 20-111 (.153) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .101.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have an OPS of .784 (1,121 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .684.
Twins hitters have an OBP of .377 (356 PA’s) this month (9 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Twins hitters have an OBP of .385 (297 PA’s) against RHP this month (9 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Twins hitters have an OPS of .904 (297 PA’s) against RHP this month (9 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .733.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have an OBP of .335 (1,047 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Giants are batting just .136 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.
The Giants have scored 1.67 runs per game (157/94) in late innings this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 1.41.
Giants hitters have 1,164 strikeouts in 4,769 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% versus the bottom of the order this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have walked 678 of 9,468 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 224 of 3,710 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
- Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
- Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
- Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
- Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
- Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
- Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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