- The Twins are -120 favorites vs the Rangers
- Twins vs Rangers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Twins / Rangers TV Channel: FS1 | BSNO | BSSW
The Minnesota Twins (-120) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+100) on Thursday, August 15, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Twins are 67-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 54-67 ATS.
Twins vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Bailey Ober 12-5, 3.52 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Cody Bradford 4-0, 3.53 ERA
Twins vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +145 | O 8 -105 | -120 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -175 | U 8 -115 | +100 |
Twins vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 51.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 18 games (+32.50 Units / 181% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 22 games (+15.80 Units / 57% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 22 games (+15.80 Units / 57% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+12.20 Units / 46% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+9.95 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nate Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 41 games (+18.40 Units / 45% ROI)
- Wyatt Langford has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 28 games (+16.40 Units / 56% ROI)
- Wyatt Langford has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+13.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+13.55 Units / 62% ROI)
- Ezequiel Duran has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+12.05 Units / 22% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 54 games (+14.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 44 games (+10.20 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 60 of their last 100 games (+8.85 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 9 away games (+3.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 away games (+0.30 Units / 3% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 54 games at home (+16.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 9 games (+10.10 Units / 94% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games at home (+9.15 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+5.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 34 games at home (+5.35 Units / 12% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 59-61 against the Run Line (-3.5 Units / -2.31% ROI).
- 67-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.1 Units / -0.06% ROI
- 62-52 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.1 Units / 3.91% ROI
- 52-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.5 Units / -12.56% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 54-67 against the Run Line (-23.3 Units / -14.52% ROI).
- 56-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.35 Units / -11.45% ROI
- 54-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -13 Units / -9.76% ROI
- 61-54 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.75 Units / 1.31% ROI
Rangers vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Carlos Santana (MIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Rangers vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Manuel Margot (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Carlos Santana (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Rangers vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Carlos Santana (MIN) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Rangers vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bailey Ober (MIN) | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
| Cody Bradford (TEX) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -120 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 29% (44/153) against Bailey Ober this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .184 (39-for-212) against Bailey Ober this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — 97th Percentile.
Bailey Ober has a strikeout rate of 41% (17 SO in 41 PAs) in late innings since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitless in 26 AB’s against Bailey Ober with two-strikes in his last two starts — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .149 — 100th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cody Bradford has allowed an OBP of just .120 (25 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (2 games) — 12th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .243 — 91st Percentile.
Cody Bradford has struck out 41% (9/22) of right-handed batters he faced this month (2 games) — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 96th Percentile.
Cody Bradford has a strikeout rate of 33% (12 SO in 36 PAs) this month (2 games) — tied for 14th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 91st Percentile.
Cody Bradford has allowed an OPS of just .240 (25 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (2 games) — 12th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .517 — 91st Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Twins are just 1-46 (.021) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .055.
The Twins are 16-35 (.314) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .198.
The Twins are 126-1 (.992) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Twins are just 25-33 (.431) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Rangers are just 8-94 (.078) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .142.
The Rangers are 48-1 (.980) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .944.
The Rangers are just 4-198 (.020) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Rangers are just 3-48 (.059) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .144.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have an OPS of .781 (1,451 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .689.
The Twins have scored 1.79 runs per game (505/282) in late innings since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.45.
Twins hitters have an OPS of .800 (2,257 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Twins hitters have an OBP of .325 (12,482 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
26% of Rangers hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers hitters are slugging just .366 on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .396.
The Rangers have a winning percentage of just 40% on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Rangers hitters have a groundball batting average of .285 with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .255.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers have walked 164 of 2,522 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Rangers pitchers this season traveled 510.9 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 465.5
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 413 of 4,546 batters (9%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 5.31 (535.2 IP) on the road this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.25.
Rangers vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Cody Bradford (Texas Rangers): Ribs, 60-Day IL
- Dane Dunning (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Cole Winn (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Marc Church (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Jung (Texas Rangers): Wrist, 60-Day IL
- Evan Carter (Texas Rangers): Back, 10-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Byron Buxton (Minnesota Twins): Forearm, Day-To-Day
- Chris Paddack (Minnesota Twins): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Groin, 10-Day IL
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brent Headrick (Minnesota Twins): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Alex Kirilloff (Minnesota Twins): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jose Miranda (Minnesota Twins): Back, 10-Day IL
- Kyle Farmer (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Kody Funderburk (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
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