- The Twins are +100 favorites vs the Rangers
- Twins vs Rangers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Twins / Rangers TV Channel: BSNO | BSSW | MLBN
The Minnesota Twins (+110) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-130) on Friday, August 16, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Twins are 68-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 55-67 ATS.
Twins vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Simeon Woods Richardson 3-3, 3.81 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney 4-12, 4.03 ERA
Twins vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +165 | O 8.5 -115 | +110 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -225 | U 8.5 -105 | -130 |
Twins vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 19 games (+31.50 Units / 166% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 22 games (+15.80 Units / 57% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 22 games (+15.80 Units / 57% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+12.20 Units / 46% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+8.85 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Wyatt Langford has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 29 games (+17.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 42 games (+17.40 Units / 41% ROI)
- Wyatt Langford has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+14.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 23 games (+12.55 Units / 55% ROI)
- Wyatt Langford has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+12.30 Units / 20% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 55 games (+13.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 61 of their last 101 games (+9.85 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 45 games (+9.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 5 away games (+5.45 Units / 84% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 away games (+0.30 Units / 2% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 55 games at home (+17.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 54 games at home (+10.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games (+9.10 Units / 78% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+6.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+4.75 Units / 15% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 59-62 against the Run Line (-4.5 Units / -2.95% ROI).
- 68-53 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.9 Units / 0.52% ROI
- 62-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +4 Units / 3.04% ROI
- 53-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.5 Units / -11.7% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 55-67 against the Run Line (-22.3 Units / -13.75% ROI).
- 56-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.35 Units / -12.03% ROI
- 54-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.1 Units / -10.5% ROI
- 62-54 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.75 Units / 2.05% ROI
Rangers vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Rangers vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Manuel Margot (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Carlos Santana (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Josh Jung (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Rangers vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Josh Jung (TEX) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Rangers vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Simeon Woods Richardson (MIN) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Simeon Woods Richardson has allowed an OPS of just .594 (179 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: .721 — 91st Percentile.
Simeon Woods Richardson has thrown off-speed pitches 58% of the time (248/427) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total NonFB; League Avg: 39% — 94th Percentile.
Simeon Woods Richardson has thrown off-speed pitches 61% of the time (432/712) vs left-handed batters this season — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total NonFB; League Avg: 45% — 91st Percentile.
Simeon Woods Richardson has thrown off-speed pitches 60% of the time (1,021/1,707) this season — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total NonFB; League Avg: 45% — 95th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .179 (39-for-218) against Andrew Heaney’s inside fastball since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 177 total IP; League Avg: .261 — 100th Percentile.
Andrew Heaney has walked 2 of 146 batters (1%) versus the bottom of the order this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 6% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% (125/360) against Andrew Heaney this season — 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 43% — sixth Percentile.
Andrew Heaney has induced opposing hitters to ground into just 4 double plays in 113 opportunities (4%) this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 11% — third Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
keys to the game – away
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Rangers are just 8-94 (.078) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Rangers are just 3-48 (.059) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .145.
The Rangers are just 6-16 (.273) after a win as underdogs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Rangers are just 4-198 (.020) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have an OPS of .758 (8,100 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
The Twins have scored 1.85 runs per game (224/121) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.42.
Twins hitters have an OPS of .800 (2,257 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Twins hitters have 183 extra-base hits out of 414 total hits (44%) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Twins pitchers have walked 755 of 10,500 batters (7%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have walked 164 of 2,531 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Rangers pitchers this season traveled 510.9 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 465.5
Rangers pitchers have walked 419 of 4,585 batters (9%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Rangers have allowed 5.37 runs per game (338/63) on the road this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.45.
Rangers vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Cody Bradford (Texas Rangers): Ribs, 60-Day IL
- Dane Dunning (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Cole Winn (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Marc Church (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Jung (Texas Rangers): Wrist, 60-Day IL
- Evan Carter (Texas Rangers): Back, 10-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Byron Buxton (Minnesota Twins): Forearm, Day-To-Day
- Chris Paddack (Minnesota Twins): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Groin, 10-Day IL
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brent Headrick (Minnesota Twins): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Alex Kirilloff (Minnesota Twins): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jose Miranda (Minnesota Twins): Back, 10-Day IL
- Kyle Farmer (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Kody Funderburk (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
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