- The Rangers are -130 favorites vs the Twins
- Twins vs Rangers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Twins / Rangers TV Channel: BSNO | BSSW
The Minnesota Twins (+115) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-135) on Saturday, August 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Twins are 69-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 55-68 ATS.
Twins vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: David Festa 2-2, 5.21 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi 8-6, 3.77 ERA
Twins vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | +1.5 -190 | O 8.5 -110 | +115 |
| Rangers | -1.5 +155 | U 8.5 -110 | -135 |
Twins vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 19 games (+31.50 Units / 166% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 23 games (+14.80 Units / 52% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 23 games (+14.80 Units / 52% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+10.95 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.85 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Marcus Semien has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 17 games at home (+18.40 Units / 108% ROI)
- Wyatt Langford has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 30 games (+16.90 Units / 54% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Walks Over in 16 of his last 24 games (+13.85 Units / 58% ROI)
- Wyatt Langford has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+13.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- Ezequiel Duran has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+12.05 Units / 22% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 56 games (+12.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 62 of their last 102 games (+10.95 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 46 games (+10.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 6 away games (+6.45 Units / 80% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 away games (+1.35 Units / 9% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 56 games at home (+18.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 55 games at home (+11.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 11 games (+10.10 Units / 76% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 36 games at home (+5.35 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+3.45 Units / 10% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 60-62 against the Run Line (-3.5 Units / -2.27% ROI).
- 69-53 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 1.15% ROI
- 62-54 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.9 Units / 2.18% ROI
- 54-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.5 Units / -10.86% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 55-68 against the Run Line (-23.3 Units / -14.28% ROI).
- 56-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.65 Units / -12.78% ROI
- 54-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.2 Units / -11.23% ROI
- 63-54 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.75 Units / 2.77% ROI
Rangers vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Rangers vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Willi Castro (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Josh Jung (TEX) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Rangers vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Rangers vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| David Festa (MIN) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -120 |
| Nathan Eovaldi (TEX) | 6.5 +125 | 6.5 -160 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
David Festa has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last three games dating back to July 30th — Andre Pallante has the longest active streak at 5.
David Festa has walked 5 of 35 batters (14%) this month (2 games) — tied for 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 8% — sixth Percentile.
David Festa has thrown his changeup 39% of the time (59/152) this month (2 games) — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total CH; League Avg: 17% — 97th Percentile.
David Festa has struck out 40% (10/25) of left-handed batters he faced this month (2 games) — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 96th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 61% (107/175) against Nathan Eovaldi this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has allowed a slugging percentage of just .304 (95 Total Bases / 312 ABs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 178 total IP; League Avg: .433 — 98th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has not allowed a walk in his last 101 PAs against a RHH dating back to June 26th — Bryce Miller has the longest active streak at 102.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 32% (156/494) against Nathan Eovaldi when he’s behind in the count since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 178 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 97th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Twins are 56-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .945.
The Twins are 127-1 (.992) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Twins are 16-35 (.314) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .198.
The Twins are 195-4 (.980) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Rangers are just 10-182 (.052) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.
The Rangers are just 3-49 (.058) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .144.
The Rangers are just 5-32 (.135) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.
The Rangers are just 17-69 (.198) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have an OPS of .773 (1,474 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .688.
Twins hitters have 183 extra-base hits out of 415 total hits (44%) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Twins have a winning percentage of 60% at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Twins hitters have an OPS of .772 (3,422 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .701.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .948 (854 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.074.
26% of Rangers hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers hitters are slugging just .366 on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .396.
Rangers hitters have 80 extra-base hits out of 271 total hits (just 29%) against LHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Twins pitchers have walked 65 of 1,084 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Rangers pitchers this season traveled 510.9 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 465.5
Rangers pitchers have walked 421 of 4,620 batters (9%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .233 against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 5.31 (536.0 IP) on the road this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.26.
Rangers vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Cody Bradford (Texas Rangers): Ribs, 60-Day IL
- Dane Dunning (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Cole Winn (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Marc Church (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Jung (Texas Rangers): Wrist, 60-Day IL
- Evan Carter (Texas Rangers): Back, 10-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Byron Buxton (Minnesota Twins): Forearm, Day-To-Day
- Chris Paddack (Minnesota Twins): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Groin, 10-Day IL
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brent Headrick (Minnesota Twins): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Alex Kirilloff (Minnesota Twins): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jose Miranda (Minnesota Twins): Back, 10-Day IL
- Kyle Farmer (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Kody Funderburk (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
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