- The Twins are +105 favorites vs the Reds
- Twins vs Reds Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Twins / Reds TV Channel: FDOH | TWTV
The Minnesota Twins (+100) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-120) on Tuesday, June 17, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Twins are 36-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 39-32 ATS.
Twins vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: David Festa 1-1, 4.84 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott 6-1, 1.87 ERA
Twins vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +165 | O 9 -120 | +100 |
| Reds | +1.5 -200 | U 9 +100 | -120 |
Twins vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Twins vs Reds and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brooks Lee has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+18.40 Units / 307% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- Brooks Lee has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.60 Units / 73% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.15 Units / 42% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.95 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- TJ Friedl has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+29.10 Units / 323% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+12.05 Units / 58% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.10 Units / 46% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+10.40 Units / 46% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 39 of their last 64 games (+12.75 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 61 games (+9.90 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 38 away games (+9.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 62 games (+9.65 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 38 games (+6.50 Units / 13% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 49 games (+9.05 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+6.25 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+6.05 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 35 of their last 62 games (+5.20 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 38 games (+4.50 Units / 10% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 38-33 against the Run Line (+5.55 Units / 6.26% ROI).
- 36-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.95 Units / -5.27% ROI
- 29-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.55 Units / -16.12% ROI
- 38-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +6 Units / 7.64% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 39-32 against the Run Line (+0.55 Units / 0.55% ROI).
- 37-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.75 Units / -0.87% ROI
- 31-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.5 Units / -15.86% ROI
- 40-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +6 Units / 7.54% ROI
Reds vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
Reds vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Ty France (MIN) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
Reds vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Ty France (MIN) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Reds vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| David Festa (MIN) | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +125 |
| Andrew Abbott (CIN) | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -115 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
David Festa threw just 44% of his pitches in the strike zone (38/86) in his last start — tied for 6th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 52% — eighth Percentile.
David Festa has thrown his changeup 37% of the time (32/86) over the past seven days (1 game) — 2nd highest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 19% — 96th Percentile.
David Festa has thrown his changeup 34% of the time (57/166) this month (2 games) — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total CH; League Avg: 15% — 97th Percentile.
David Festa has an ERA of 9.31 (9.2 IP)this month (2 games) — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 4.03 — second Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 20% (21/103) against Andrew Abbott’s curve and slider in 2023 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .093 (4-for-43) against Andrew Abbott’s elevated fastball this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .222 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 27% (40/151) against Andrew Abbott on non-fastballs in 2023 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 17% (18/106) against Andrew Abbott’s slider since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Twins are just 2-97 (.020) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Twins are just 10-33 (.233) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .303.
The Twins are 171-4 (.977) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Twins are just 14-20 (.412) after a loss this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .490.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Reds are just 0-27 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .135.
The Reds are just 15-30 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds were just 5-16 (.238) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 6-88 (.064) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters slugged .716 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .596.
The Twins batted just .150 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.
Twins hitters struck out 1,274 times in 4,710 PA’s (27%) against RHP in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins hitters slugged .432 against RHP in the 2023 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters slugged just .151 on pitches out of the zone in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
The Reds batted just .116 on pitches out of the zone in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.
The Reds are batting just .223 against LHP since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
The Reds batted just .226 against LHP in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers walked 433 of 6,078 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers walked 443 of 6,028 batters (7%) in 2023 — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers have an ERA of 7.50 (54.0 IP) at home this month (6 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.79.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Twins vs Reds and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
