- The Royals are -135 favorites vs the Twins
- Twins vs Royals Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Twins / Royals TV Channel: ATV+
The Minnesota Twins (+115) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-135) on Friday, September 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the Twins are 76-64 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 77-64 ATS.
Twins vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Zebby Matthews 1-2, 7.42 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Cole Ragans 10-9, 3.46 ERA
Twins vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | +1.5 -200 | O 7.5 -115 | +115 |
| Royals | -1.5 +165 | U 7.5 -105 | -135 |
Twins vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Friday‘s MLB game with 53.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 28 games (+22.50 Units / 80% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the RBIs Under in 25 of his last 28 games (+18.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 39 games (+16.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 39 games (+16.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+14.50 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 15 of his last 50 games (+20.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 36 games (+13.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 42 games (+11.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 42 games (+10.45 Units / 24% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 74 games (+12.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 15 away games (+8.35 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 69 of their last 120 games (+4.90 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 away games (+2.10 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 34 away games (+1.95 Units / 4% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 70 games at home (+10.44 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 70 games at home (+8.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 37 games (+7.75 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 36 of their last 70 games at home (+7.55 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 51 games at home (+6.70 Units / 11% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 65-75 against the Run Line (-12.75 Units / -7.19% ROI).
- 76-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.05 Units / -2.05% ROI
- 71-62 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.05 Units / 2% ROI
- 62-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.6 Units / -10.81% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 77-64 against the Run Line (+1.94 Units / 1.02% ROI).
- 76-65 when betting on the Moneyline for +7 Units / 3.94% ROI
- 64-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.8 Units / -9.01% ROI
- 71-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.05 Units / -0.03% ROI
Royals vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Michael Massey (KC) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Paul DeJong (KC) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
Royals vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tommy Pham (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Freddy Fermin (KC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Michael Massey (KC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Royals vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Michael Massey (KC) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
Royals vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zebby Matthews (MIN) | 3.5 -175 | 3.5 +130 |
| Cole Ragans (KC) | 7.5 +120 | 7.5 -160 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zebby Matthews has limited playing time.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 33% (436/1,339) against Cole Ragans this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .174 (40-for-230) against Cole Ragans when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 96th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 34% (391/1,134) against Cole Ragans this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .438 (21 GB hits out of 48 GBs) against Cole Ragans with runners in scoring position since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: .243 — 0 Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Twins are 62-1 (.984) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .946.
The Twins are 20-16 (.556) after a road win this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .470.
The Twins are just 1-55 (.018) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Twins are 201-5 (.976) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Royals are just 24-102 (.190) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.
The Royals are just 43-45 (.489) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .624.
The Royals are just 20-61 (.247) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .376.
The Royals are just 4-46 (.080) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .200.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have an OPS of .769 (3,632 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .700.
Twins hitters have an OBP of .324 (12,997 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Twins hitters have an OBP of .326 (8,605 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Twins have scored 1.77 runs per game (535/302) in late innings since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.45.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have just 971 strikeouts in 5,216 PA’s (19%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters have just 735 strikeouts in 3,947 PA’s (19%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters have just 236 strikeouts in 1,269 PA’s (19%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .287 (5,555 PA’s) on the road since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 359 of 5,196 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have walked 171 of 2,700 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Twins pitchers have walked 802 of 11,224 batters (7%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals have won 40% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kansas City Royals – No Injuries Reported
- Minnesota Twins – No Injuries Reported
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