- The Twins are +100 favorites vs the Royals
- Twins vs Royals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Twins / Royals TV Channel: BSNO | BSKC
The Minnesota Twins (+100) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-120) on Sunday, September 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the Twins are 76-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 79-64 ATS.
Twins vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Simeon Woods Richardson 5-3, 3.98 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Michael Wacha 11-7, 3.52 ERA
Twins vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +165 | O 8.5 -110 | +100 |
| Royals | +1.5 -200 | U 8.5 -110 | -120 |
Twins vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 29 games (+21.50 Units / 74% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 41 games (+18.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 41 games (+18.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 30 games (+17.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 30 games (+14.05 Units / 27% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 14 of his last 49 games (+17.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 38 games (+15.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Hits Under in 25 of his last 44 games (+11.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- Michael Wacha has hit the Earned Runs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.55 Units / 52% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 76 games (+10.25 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.45 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 69 of their last 122 games (+2.55 Units / 1% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 22 away games (+2.10 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 10 away games (+1.85 Units / 16% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 72 games at home (+12.99 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 72 games at home (+10.85 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 53 games at home (+8.70 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 37 of their last 72 games at home (+7.55 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 39 games (+5.55 Units / 13% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 65-77 against the Run Line (-15.5 Units / -8.61% ROI).
- 76-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.4 Units / -3.2% ROI
- 71-64 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.85 Units / 0.55% ROI
- 64-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.6 Units / -9.37% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 79-64 against the Run Line (+4.49 Units / 2.32% ROI).
- 78-65 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.15 Units / 5.09% ROI
- 64-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -16 Units / -10.3% ROI
- 73-64 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.95 Units / 1.24% ROI
Royals vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
Royals vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Tommy Pham (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Willi Castro (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Royals vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Royals vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Wacha (KC) | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +120 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Simeon Woods Richardson has induced opposing hitters to ground into just 2 double plays in 94 opportunities (2%) since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .404 (19 GB hits out of 47 GBs) against Simeon Woods Richardson with runners on base this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .259 — first Percentile.
Simeon Woods Richardson has allowed a slugging percentage of just .323 (62 Total Bases / 192 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .410 — 93rd Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 57 of Simeon Woods Richardson’s 246 changeups out of the zone (chase rate of 23%) since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: 34% — third Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .184 (38-for-207) against Michael Wacha when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 94th Percentile.
Michael Wacha has a strike rate of just 62% (683/1,101) against right-handed batters this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — seventh Percentile.
Michael Wacha has a strikeout rate of just 19% (17 SO in 90 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 11th Percentile.
Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 48% of the time (922/1,926) with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 186 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 98th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Twins are just 1-55 (.018) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Twins are 133-2 (.985) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Twins are 201-5 (.976) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Twins are 57-3 (.950) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .897.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Royals are just 24-102 (.190) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.
The Royals are just 4-46 (.080) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .200.
The Royals are just 14-75 (.157) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .304.
The Royals are 28-45 (.384) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .274.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have an OPS of .765 (3,651 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .700.
Twins hitters have an OPS of .760 (1,703 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .688.
Twins hitters are slugging .446 at home this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Twins hitters are slugging .628 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .580.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals won just 46% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .287 (5,555 PA’s) on the road since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Royals hitters have drawn 186 walks in 2,799 PA’s (7%) against LHP since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals hitters have just 236 strikeouts in 1,273 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 72 of 1,260 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Twins pitchers have walked 360 of 5,262 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have walked 171 of 2,716 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in late innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Royals vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kansas City Royals – No Injuries Reported
- Minnesota Twins – No Injuries Reported
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