Twins vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 10

min read
Chicago White Sox's Yoan Moncada watches his home run off San Diego Padres relief pitcher Robert Suarez during the eighth inning of a baseball game Friday, Sept. 29, 2023, in Chicago.
(AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 10, 2024, 11:02 AM
  • The Twins are -160 favorites vs the White Sox
  • Twins vs White Sox Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Twins / White Sox TV Channel: BSNO | NSCH | MLBN

The Minnesota Twins (-185) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+150) on Wednesday, July 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Twins are 52-39 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 42-51 ATS.

Twins vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Twins starting pitcher: Bailey Ober 8-4, 4.12 ERA
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Erick Fedde 6-3, 3.12 ERA

Twins vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Twins-1.5 -105O 8 -110-185
White Sox +1.5 -115U 8 -110+150

Twins vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 61.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Twins vs White Sox and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Carlos Santana has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 25 away games (+21.80 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Trevor Larnach has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 24 games (+15.00 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Max Kepler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 27 games (+11.65 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Willi Castro has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 35 games (+11.05 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Manuel Margot has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 17 away games (+9.90 Units / 36% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+17.00 Units / 170% ROI)
  • Lenyn Sosa has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+11.30 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Luis Robert has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.45 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Tommy Pham has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.25 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+10.15 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 47 of their last 74 games (+15.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 71 games (+10.80 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.50 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games (+10.30 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games (+6.80 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.90 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+4.95 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.15 Units / 17% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 44-47 against the Run Line (-3.4 Units / -2.97% ROI).

  • 52-39 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.85 Units / 1.44% ROI
  • 46-41 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.1 Units / 1.11% ROI
  • 41-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.75 Units / -9.83% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 42-51 against the Run Line (-14 Units / -12.47% ROI).

  • 26-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -32 Units / -33.51% ROI
  • 43-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.6 Units / -6.48% ROI
  • 45-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.85 Units / -1.84% ROI

White Sox vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Luis Robert (CWS) 0.5 +260 0.5 -350
Matt Wallner (MIN) 0.5 +300 0.5 -375
Eloy Jimenez (CWS) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Jose Miranda (MIN) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Carlos Correa (MIN) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550

White Sox vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Willi Castro (MIN) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Jose Miranda (MIN) 0.5 -250 0.5 +195
Tommy Pham (CWS) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Andrew Vaughn (CWS) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Eloy Jimenez (CWS) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160

White Sox vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Luis Robert (CWS) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Jose Miranda (MIN) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Carlos Correa (MIN) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Andrew Vaughn (CWS) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Eloy Jimenez (CWS) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225

White Sox vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Erick Fedde (CWS) 4.5 -135 4.5 +105
Bailey Ober (MIN) 6.5 +115 6.5 -150

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (29/99) against Bailey Ober in two-strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — third Percentile.

Pablo Lopez has walked 4 of 162 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

Pablo Lopez’s K:BB ratio is 8.1 (57/7) vs left-handed batters this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.0 — 100th Percentile.

Pablo Lopez has walked 7 of 208 left-handed batters (3%) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 95th Percentile.

White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Erick Fedde has a strikeout rate of just 18% (22 SO in 122 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — third Percentile.

Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 49% (301/608) when ahead in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.

Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 62% (1,051/1,705) this season — 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — ninth Percentile.

Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 59% (301/512) in two strike counts this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — fourth Percentile.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Twins are 15-27 (.357) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .199.

The Twins are 112-1 (.991) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .947.

The Twins are 15-8 (.652) after a road win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .454.

The Twins are 32-19 (.627) after a win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .489.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The White Sox are just 66-29 (.695) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.

The White Sox are just 13-13 (.500) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .801.

The White Sox are just 22-21 (.512) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .724.

The White Sox are just 7-24 (.226) after a home loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .544.

The Twins are batting .284 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

The Twins are batting .344 this month (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .250.

Twins hitters have an OPS of 1.257 (82 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this month (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .750.

Twins hitters have an OBP of .433 (225 PA’s) against RHP this month (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .317.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .216 (4,968 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

White Sox hitters have drawn 104 walks in 1,999 PA’s (5%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .289 (4,589 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .321.

The White Sox have won just 46% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 75%.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% versus the bottom of the order this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Twins pitchers have walked 675 of 9,406 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 26% against Twins pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

White Sox pitchers have walked 1,004 of 9,860 batters (10%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 2% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

White Sox pitchers have walked 350 of 3,559 batters (10%) this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 5.16 (1083.2 IP) on the road since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.36.

White Sox vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Eloy Jimenez (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, Day-To-Day
  • Yasmani Grandal (Chicago White Sox): Foot, 10-Day IL
  • Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jake Eder (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
  • Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
  • Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Hip, 10-Day IL
  • Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
  • Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
  • Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
  • Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
  • Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
  • Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
  • Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
  • Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
  • Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
  • Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL

Bet now on Twins vs White Sox and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.