- The Yankees are -190 favorites vs the Twins
- Twins vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Twins / Yankees TV Channel: BSNO | AMZP
The Minnesota Twins (+155) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-190) on Wednesday, June 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.
This season, the Twins are 33-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 36-26 ATS.
Twins vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Chris Paddack 4-2, 4.58 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodon 7-2, 2.81 ERA
Twins vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | +1.5 -135 | O 8.5 -115 | +155 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +110 | U 8.5 -105 | -190 |
Twins vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Carlos Santana has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 16 away games (+23.70 Units / 148% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 28 games (+14.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 28 games (+12.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Ryan Jeffers has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.75 Units / 49% ROI)
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 26 games (+10.60 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Aaron Judge has hit the Home Runs Over in 14 of his last 27 games (+19.00 Units / 70% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 24 of his last 29 games (+16.85 Units / 44% ROI)
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+16.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 29 games (+13.20 Units / 39% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 23 games at home (+11.15 Units / 48% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games (+9.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 40 games (+8.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.64 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 43 games (+4.00 Units / 8% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 31 games (+19.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 28 games (+18.80 Units / 54% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 28 games (+17.95 Units / 53% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 39 games (+16.29 Units / 34% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 62 games (+15.90 Units / 17% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 28-32 against the Run Line (-7 Units / -8.85% ROI).
- 33-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.35 Units / -0.44% ROI
- 25-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.1 Units / -13.99% ROI
- 31-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.4 Units / 5.24% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 36-26 against the Run Line (+14.25 Units / 18.94% ROI).
- 43-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.9 Units / 17.22% ROI
- 27-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.25 Units / -13.57% ROI
- 33-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.4 Units / 4.97% ROI
Yankees vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Yankees vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Manuel Margot (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Alex Verdugo (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Yankees vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -120 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Alex Verdugo (NYY) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Yankees vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Rodon (NYY) | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 +105 |
| Chris Paddack (MIN) | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -160 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Paddack has allowed a slugging percentage of .553 (42 Total Bases / 76 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .297 — first Percentile.
Chris Paddack has a strikeout rate of just 16% (13 SO in 83 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — first Percentile.
Chris Paddack has struck out just 16% (22/138) of left-handed batters he faced this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Chris Paddack has allowed a slugging percentage of .625 (60 Total Bases / 96 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .366 — second Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% (63/191) against Carlos Rodon this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 51% (37 SO in 72 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitless in 16 AB’s against Carlos Rodon when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .217 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .146 (6-for-41) against Carlos Rodon — 4th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .226 — 96th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Twins are just 18-30 (.375) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 16-84 (.160) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Twins are 167-4 (.977) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Twins are 22-72 (.234) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .145.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Yankees are 24-18 (.571) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Yankees are 54-53 (.505) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .364.
The Yankees are 75-19 (.798) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .693.
The Yankees are 71-40 (.640) after a home win since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .534.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have 137 extra-base hits out of 320 total hits (43%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .288 (271 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .329.
The Twins are batting just .153 with two-strikes since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .171.
Twins hitters have 535 extra-base hits out of 1,330 total hits (40%) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .774 (2,350 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .698.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .798 (1,738 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .697.
Yankees hitters are slugging .462 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .387.
Yankees hitters are slugging .728 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .551.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 148 of 2,218 batters (7%) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have won 80% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Yankees have won 67% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Yankees have won 63% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Yankees pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 21% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Yankees vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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