- The Mets are -250 favorites vs the White Sox
- White Sox vs Mets Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- White Sox / Mets TV Channel: SNY | CHSN
The Chicago White Sox (+200) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-250) on Wednesday, May 28, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.
This season, the White Sox are 17-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 28-27 ATS.
White Sox vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- White Sox starting pitcher: Shane Smith 1-3, 2.34 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Griffin Canning 5-1, 2.90 ERA
White Sox vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +1.5 -105 | O 8 -120 | +200 |
| Mets | -1.5 -115 | U 8 +100 | -250 |
White Sox vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Miguel Vargas has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 away games (+17.45 Units / 218% ROI)
- Edgar Quero has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Chase Meidroth has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.70 Units / 35% ROI)
- Chase Meidroth has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.75 Units / 51% ROI)
- Chase Meidroth has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.15 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brett Baty has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games at home (+34.90 Units / 349% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+12.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.70 Units / 55% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+10.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+7.95 Units / 22% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 27 away games (+10.80 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 32 games (+10.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 31 games (+8.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 away games (+8.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 26 away games (+6.20 Units / 22% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 55 games (+13.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 27 games at home (+10.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.09 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 27 games at home (+8.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+5.89 Units / 23% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 30-25 against the Run Line (+2.9 Units / 4.52% ROI).
- 17-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.41 Units / -20.71% ROI
- 25-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.8 Units / -7.92% ROI
- 27-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.5 Units / -0.83% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 28-27 against the Run Line (+1.44 Units / 2.07% ROI).
- 34-21 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.25 Units / 6.35% ROI
- 19-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.65 Units / -30.65% ROI
- 34-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.05 Units / 21.7% ROI
Mets vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Mets vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +170 |
| Lenyn Sosa (CWS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Miguel Vargas (CWS) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Mets vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Mets vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shane Smith (CWS) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
| Griffin Canning (NYM) | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -165 |
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shane Smith has a in-zone of 56% (464/824) this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 51% — 96th Percentile.
Shane Smith has allowed an OPS of just .344 (110 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .482 — 91st Percentile.
Shane Smith has allowed a slugging percentage of just .290 (29 Total Bases / 100 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .390 — 91st Percentile.
Shane Smith has a in-zone of 58% (237/408) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 51% — 97th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Griffin Canning allowed a slugging percentage of .561 (147 Total Bases / 262 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .380 — first Percentile.
Griffin Canning had a strikeout rate of just 34% (130/377) with two-strikes in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.
Griffin Canning allowed a slugging percentage of .362 (121 Total Bases / 334 ABs) with two-strikes in the 2024 season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .254 — fifth Percentile.
Griffin Canning has allowed an OPS of .848 (378 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .656 — fourth Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The White Sox were just 33-23 (.589) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The White Sox are just 23-86 (.211) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .468.
The White Sox are just 100-27 (.787) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The White Sox were just 3-58 (.049) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Mets were 8-60 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Mets are 21-6 (.778) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .561.
The Mets are 22-9 (.710) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Mets are 4-2 (.667) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season They play the White Sox (28th best runs allowed) today.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 21% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .286 (13,846 PA’s) since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .644 (10,448 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .721.
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 31% since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of just .174 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .258.
Mets hitters slugged .440 against LHP in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .397.
Mets hitters have an OPS of .761 (2,122 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Mets hitters have chased 19% of pitches out of the zone in lefty-lefty matchups this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers walked 643 of 6,241 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The White Sox have won just 17% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
White Sox pitchers have won only 7% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 10% of batters since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 53% against Mets pitchers over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Mets pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 44% against Mets pitchers in the 2024 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mets pitchers walked 586 of 6,098 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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