White Sox vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 22

Texas Rangers' Marcus Semien watches his two-run home run against the Arizona Diamondbacks during the ninth inning in Game 5 of the baseball World Series Wednesday, Nov. 1, 2023, in Phoenix.
(AP Photo/Godofredo A. Vรกsquez)
  • The Rangers are -185 favorites vs the White Sox
  • White Sox vs Rangers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • White Sox / Rangers TV Channel: NSCH | BSSW

The Chicago White Sox (+150) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-185) on Monday, July 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.

This season, the White Sox are 27-74 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 45-54 ATS.

White Sox vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • White Sox starting pitcher: Erick Fedde 7-3, 2.98 ERA
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen 5-5, 3.56 ERA

White Sox vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
White Sox+1.5 -135O 8.5 -115+150
Rangers -1.5 +110U 8.5 -105-185

White Sox vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Monday‘s MLB game with 56.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Paul DeJong has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 23 away games (+29.05 Units / 126% ROI)
  • Luis Robert has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.45 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Tommy Pham has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.25 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+10.15 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Eloy Jimenez has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.15 Units / 29% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Josh H. Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games at home (+22.10 Units / 246% ROI)
  • Josh H. Smith has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+16.95 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+14.75 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 26 games (+14.05 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 38 games (+12.35 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games (+9.65 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 24 away games (+6.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 26 away games (+6.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 47 away games (+5.30 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 27 away games (+3.95 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 44 games at home (+17.00 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 43 games at home (+9.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 48 games (+8.20 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+6.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 23 games at home (+5.55 Units / 18% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 44-57 against the Run Line (-18.45 Units / -15.24% ROI).

  • 27-74 when betting on the Moneyline for -38.3 Units / -36.77% ROI
  • 44-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.15 Units / -11.91% ROI
  • 52-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.05 Units / 3.69% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 45-54 against the Run Line (-15.8 Units / -12.22% ROI).

  • 47-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.9 Units / -10.44% ROI
  • 39-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.3 Units / -19.54% ROI
  • 55-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.35 Units / 11.35% ROI

Rangers vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Luis Robert (CWS) 0.5 +360 0.5 -450
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Eloy Jimenez (CWS) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700
Wyatt Langford (TEX) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750

Rangers vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tommy Pham (CWS) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Eloy Jimenez (CWS) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Marcus Semien (TEX) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Luis Robert (CWS) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Andrew Vaughn (CWS) 0.5 -225 0.5 +175

Rangers vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Luis Robert (CWS) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Andrew Vaughn (CWS) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Eloy Jimenez (CWS) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225

Rangers vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Michael Lorenzen (TEX) 4.5 -115 4.5 -110
Erick Fedde (CWS) 4.5 +110 4.5 -145

Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 50% (325/650) when ahead in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.

Erick Fedde has a strikeout rate of just 18% (23 SO in 125 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — third Percentile.

Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 58% (322/551) in two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.

Erick Fedde has walked 7 of 171 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 90th Percentile.

Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Left-handed batters are hitting just .139 (21-for-151) against Michael Lorenzen this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .243 — 100th Percentile.

Michael Lorenzen has allowed a BABIP of .155 vs left-handed batters this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .286 — 100th Percentile.

Michael Lorenzen has walked 22 of 141 batters (16%) versus the top of the order this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .184 (7-for-38) against Michael Lorenzen on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .331 — 97th Percentile.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The White Sox are just 67-29 (.698) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.

The White Sox are just 17-54 (.239) after a loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .513.

The White Sox are just 8-27 (.229) after a home loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .547.

The White Sox are just 9-31 (.225) after a road win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .478.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Rangers are just 2-35 (.054) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.

The Rangers are just 5-94 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.

The Rangers are just 3-21 (.125) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

The Rangers are 21-3 (.875) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .755.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .284 (7,438 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .215 (5,119 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .287 (9,633 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.

The White Sox have won just 44% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.

Rangers hitters have 21 strikeouts in 61 PA’s (34%) against LHP this month (10 games) — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of .333 (2,655 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .320.

13% of Rangers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (2,090/16,038 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.

Rangers hitters are slugging .458 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.

White Sox pitchers have won only 6% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The White Sox have won just 8% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 2% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

White Sox pitchers have walked 1,563 of 16,305 batters (10%) since the 2022 season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .220 against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Rangers pitchers have walked 346 of 3,687 batters (9%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rangers pitchers have won only 8% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

The Rangers have allowed 3.50 runs per game (168/48) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.36.

Rangers vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
  • Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
  • Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
  • Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
  • Eloy Jimenez (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, Day-To-Day
  • Yasmani Grandal (Chicago White Sox): Foot, 10-Day IL
  • Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jake Eder (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
  • Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
  • Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Hip, 10-Day IL

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.