White Sox vs Twins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 4

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Minnesota Twins third baseman Royce Lewis runs off the field after throwing out Houston Astros' Jeremy Pena at first during the seventh inning of Game 4 of a baseball AL Division Series, Wednesday, Oct. 11, 2023, in Minneapolis.
(AP Photo/Bruce Kluckhohn)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 04, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Twins are -300 favorites vs the White Sox
  • White Sox vs Twins Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • White Sox / Twins TV Channel: BSNO | NSCH | ESPN+

The Chicago White Sox (+240) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-300) on Sunday, August 4, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.

This season, the White Sox are 27-86 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 53-56 ATS.

White Sox vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:

  • White Sox starting pitcher: Chris Flexen 2-10, 5.16 ERA
  • Twins starting pitcher: Simeon Woods Richardson 3-2, 3.78 ERA

White Sox vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
White Sox+1.5 +110O 8.5 +100+240
Twins -1.5 -135U 8.5 -120-300

White Sox vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 68.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Luis Robert has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+12.80 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Lenyn Sosa has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 27 games (+10.15 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Luis Robert has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 24 away games (+9.55 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Lenyn Sosa has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 31 of his last 47 games (+9.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Lenyn Sosa has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 47 games (+8.65 Units / 18% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Royce Lewis has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 12 games at home (+19.10 Units / 159% ROI)
  • Trevor Larnach has hit the Walks Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+11.40 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Trevor Larnach has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 34 games (+10.90 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Jose Miranda has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+10.80 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Royce Lewis has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.75 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 12 away games (+10.40 Units / 75% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 46 games (+5.95 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 53 away games (+5.35 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 30 away games (+1.65 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 32 away games (+1.25 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 47 games at home (+14.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 43 games (+12.85 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 89 games (+8.80 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 33 games (+8.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+5.85 Units / 22% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 48-65 against the Run Line (-23.55 Units / -17.37% ROI).

  • 27-86 when betting on the Moneyline for -50.3 Units / -43.31% ROI
  • 51-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.6 Units / -8.57% ROI
  • 56-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.35 Units / 0.28% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 53-56 against the Run Line (-5.6 Units / -4.04% ROI).

  • 61-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.15 Units / -0.1% ROI
  • 56-48 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.45 Units / 2.91% ROI
  • 48-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.75 Units / -11.55% ROI

Twins vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Byron Buxton (MIN) 0.5 +270 0.5 -350
Royce Lewis (MIN) 0.5 +290 0.5 -375
Matt Wallner (MIN) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Max Kepler (MIN) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Luis Robert (CWS) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650

Twins vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Byron Buxton (MIN) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Royce Lewis (MIN) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Max Kepler (MIN) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Jose Miranda (MIN) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Lenyn Sosa (CWS) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160

Twins vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Royce Lewis (MIN) 0.5 +110 0.5 -145
Byron Buxton (MIN) 0.5 +115 0.5 -150
Max Kepler (MIN) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Jose Miranda (MIN) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Matt Wallner (MIN) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250

Twins vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chris Flexen (CWS) 3.5 -130 3.5 +100
Simeon Woods Richardson (MIN) 4.5 -130 4.5 +100

Chris Flexen has a strikeout rate of just 14% (26 SO in 191 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Chris Flexen has a strikeout rate of just 32% (80 SO in 253 PAs) with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.

Chris Flexen has a strikeout rate of just 13% (12 SO in 95 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — third Percentile.

Chris Flexen has a strikeout rate of just 16% (80 SO in 488 PAs) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.

Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .417 (10 GB hits out of 24 GBs) against Simeon Woods Richardson with runners in scoring position this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: .242 — third Percentile.

Simeon Woods Richardson has a strikeout rate of just 36% (78 SO in 218 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 10th Percentile.

Simeon Woods Richardson has allowed a slugging percentage of just .294 (37 Total Bases / 126 ABs) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: .435 — 96th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .187 (29-for-155) against Simeon Woods Richardson at home this season — tied for 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: .241 — 95th Percentile.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The White Sox are just 23-28 (.451) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.

The White Sox are just 17-68 (.200) after a loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .510.

The White Sox are just 67-32 (.677) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .858.

The White Sox are just 75-11 (.872) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Twins are 17-99 (.147) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .103.

The Twins are 120-1 (.992) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .947.

The Twins are 49-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .944.

The Twins are 24-87 (.216) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .142.

The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 32% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .282 (7,830 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

The White Sox have won just 39% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.

The White Sox are batting just .206 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .234.

Twins hitters have an OPS of .790 (1,335 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .686.

Twins hitters have an OPS of .779 (3,283 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .700.

Twins hitters have an OPS of 1.191 (1,883 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 1.088.

Twins hitters have 175 extra-base hits out of 395 total hits (44%) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 2% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

White Sox pitchers have won only 5% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The White Sox have won just 10% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

White Sox pitchers have won only 3% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Twins pitchers have walked 280 of 4,024 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Twins vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Byron Buxton (Minnesota Twins): Forearm, Day-To-Day
  • Chris Paddack (Minnesota Twins): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Groin, 10-Day IL
  • Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Brent Headrick (Minnesota Twins): Forearm, 60-Day IL
  • Alex Kirilloff (Minnesota Twins): Back, 10-Day IL
  • Jose Miranda (Minnesota Twins): Back, 10-Day IL
  • Kyle Farmer (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
  • Kody Funderburk (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
  • Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Knee, 60-Day IL
  • Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
  • Yoan Moncada (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, 60-Day IL
  • Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Michael Soroka (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Braden Shewmake (Chicago White Sox): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
  • Lane Ramsey (Chicago White Sox): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
  • Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.