Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 15

Toronto Blue Jays' Davis Schneider during a baseball game against the Oakland Athletics in Oakland, Calif., Tuesday, Sept. 5, 2023.
(AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)
  • The Yankees are -105 favorites vs the Blue Jays
  • Yankees vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Yankees / Blue Jays TV Channel: TVA | YES | RSN1

The New York Yankees (-105) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-115) on Monday, April 15, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.

This season, the Yankees are 12-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 8-7 ATS.

Yankees vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Yankees starting pitcher: Luis Gil 0-0, 3.00 ERA
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt 1-2, 4.96 ERA

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Yankees-1.5 +150O 8.5 +100-105
Blue Jays +1.5 -185U 8.5 -120-115

Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

  • player high – away 

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • player  high – home
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 8-7 against the Run Line (+2.25 Units / 12.33% ROI).

  • 12-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.6 Units / 38.1% ROI
  • 4-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.25 Units / -42.77% ROI
  • 10-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.75 Units / 35.6% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 8-7 against the Run Line (-1 Units / -4.59% ROI).

  • 7-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.75 Units / -9.78% ROI
  • 7-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.7 Units / -10.33% ROI
  • 8-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.25 Units / 1.51% ROI

Blue Jays vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 +220 0.5 -275
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Daulton Varsho (TOR) 0.5 +525 0.5 -800

Blue Jays vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Anthony Volpe (NYY) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Gleyber Torres (NYY) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
George Springer (TOR) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Bo Bichette (TOR) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170

Blue Jays vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 +110 0.5 -145
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Anthony Rizzo (NYY) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225

Blue Jays vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chris Bassitt (TOR) 5.5 -130 5.5 +100
Luis Gil (NYY) 5.5 -125 5.5 -105

Luis Gil has located his changeup inside 49% of the time (20/41) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Luis Gil has not allowed a hit to any of the last 32 batters he’s faced after reaching two strikes. — Lucas Erceg has the longest active streak at 49.

Luis Gil has walked 7 of 38 batters (18%) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 19% (3/16) against Luis Gil this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Chris Bassitt has allowed a slugging percentage of .852 (23 Total Bases / 27 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .388 — first Percentile.

Chris Bassitt has allowed an OPS of 1.414 (32 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .702 — first Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting .481 (13-for-27) against Chris Bassitt this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .244 — first Percentile.

Chris Bassitt has allowed an OBP of .562 (32 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .315 — first Percentile.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Yankees are 22-17 (.564) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.

The Yankees are 115-29 (.799) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .697.

The Yankees were 31-13 (.705) when they scored in the first inning in 2023 — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .612.

The Yankees are 151-10 (.938) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .906.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Blue Jays are 71-113 (.386) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .280.

The Blue Jays are just 9-62 (.127) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .217.

The Blue Jays are 37-62 (.374) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .265.

The Blue Jays are 166-38 (.814) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .719.

Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 41% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Yankees hitters have drawn 84 walks in 628 PA’s (13%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Yankees hitters had a groundball batting average of just .212 in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

The Yankees batted just .234 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.

Blue Jays hitters have just 17 strikeouts in 117 PA’s (14%) against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Blue Jays hitters struck out just 268 times in 1,405 PA’s (19%) against LHP in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Blue Jays are batting .264 against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.

The Blue Jays are batting just .193 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .217 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .254.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Yankees pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.78 (145.2 IP) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.17.

Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .214 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.

Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 25% in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Blue Jays pitchers had allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 38% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Blue Jays vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
  • Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
  • Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
  • Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
  • Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
  • Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
  • DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
  • Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
  • Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
  • Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL

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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.