- The Yankees are -115 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Yankees vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Yankees / Blue Jays TV Channel: RSN | TVA | YES
The New York Yankees (-105) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-115) on Tuesday, April 16, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Yankees are 12-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 10-7 ATS.
Yankees vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodon 1-0, 1.69 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi 0-1, 2.30 ERA
Yankees vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +155 | O 8.5 -115 | -105 |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -190 | U 8.5 -105 | -115 |
Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 53.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Carlos Rodon has hit the Strikeouts Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.75 Units / 43% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+5.90 Units / 84% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.45 Units / 49% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.30 Units / 64% ROI)
- Clarke Schmidt has hit the Earned Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.15 Units / 42% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Berrios has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 23 of his last 33 games (+10.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jose Berrios has hit the Earned Runs Under in 23 of his last 33 games (+10.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- Davis Schneider has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+7.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- Daniel Vogelbach has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 14 games at home (+6.60 Units / 47% ROI)
- Jose Berrios has hit the Strikeouts Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.05 Units / 51% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 43 away games (+12.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 20 away games (+9.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 away games (+8.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.60 Units / 29% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 66 games at home (+12.34 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.66 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games at home (+1.85 Units / 15% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 8-9 against the Run Line (-0.65 Units / -3.07% ROI).
- 12-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.35 Units / 24.1% ROI
- 5-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.4 Units / -38.44% ROI
- 11-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.7 Units / 31.23% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 10-7 against the Run Line (+1.65 Units / 6.86% ROI).
- 9-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.25 Units / 1.16% ROI
- 7-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -4 Units / -21.33% ROI
- 10-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.25 Units / 12.03% ROI
Blue Jays vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Bo Bichette (TOR) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Rodon (NYY) | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
| Yusei Kikuchi (TOR) | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -105 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 20% (4/20) against Carlos Rodon in two-strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has allowed an OPS of .884 (38 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .481 — first Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has allowed a slugging percentage of .515 (17 Total Bases / 33 ABs) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .243 — first Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has allowed an OBP of .368 (38 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: .229 — second Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yusei Kikuchi has thrown breaking pitches 60% of the time (33/55) when behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has a strikeout rate of 31% (20 SO in 65 PAs) this season — tied for 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 92nd Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (22/38) against Yusei Kikuchi this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 95th Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has walked 7 of 55 right-handed batters (13%) this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — fifth Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Yankees are 22-17 (.564) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Yankees are 47-49 (.490) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .362.
The Yankees are 51-8 (.864) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Yankees are 83-2 (.976) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Blue Jays are 21-15 (.583) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
The Blue Jays are just 9-62 (.127) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .217.
The Blue Jays are 21-10 (.677) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .497.
The Blue Jays are 167-38 (.815) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 41% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Yankees hitters have chased 22% of pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Yankees batted just .227 in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Yankees hitters had a groundball batting average of just .212 in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 17 strikeouts in 118 PA’s (14%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 531 strikeouts in 2,762 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 714 strikeouts in 3,664 PA’s (20%) in righty-righty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Blue Jays batted just .240 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .216 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .213 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .214 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .214 against Yankees pitchers in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 36% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
- Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
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