- The Blue Jays are -120 favorites vs the Yankees
- Yankees vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Yankees / Blue Jays TV Channel: YES | MLBN | RSN
The New York Yankees (+100) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-120) on Wednesday, April 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Yankees are 12-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 10-8 ATS.
Yankees vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman 1-1, 2.12 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 0-2, 11.58 ERA
Yankees vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | +1.5 -210 | O 8 +100 | +100 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +160 | U 8 -120 | -120 |
Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Trent Grisham has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Austin Wells has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 7 games (+7.15 Units / 74% ROI)
- Austin Wells has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+6.75 Units / 94% ROI)
- Trent Grisham has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 5 games (+5.75 Units / 91% ROI)
- Austin Wells has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 5 games (+5.30 Units / 75% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Berrios has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 23 of his last 33 games (+10.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jose Berrios has hit the Earned Runs Under in 23 of his last 33 games (+10.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- Chris Bassitt has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 13 of his last 18 games at home (+8.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- Cavan Biggio has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.10 Units / 70% ROI)
- Cavan Biggio has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 8 games (+8.05 Units / 69% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 43 away games (+12.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 20 away games (+9.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 away games (+8.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.60 Units / 29% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 66 games at home (+12.34 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.66 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games at home (+1.85 Units / 15% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 9-9 against the Run Line (+0.35 Units / 1.51% ROI).
- 12-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.35 Units / 18.75% ROI
- 6-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.4 Units / -31.6% ROI
- 11-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.5 Units / 23.14% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 10-8 against the Run Line (+0.65 Units / 2.59% ROI).
- 10-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.25 Units / 5.48% ROI
- 8-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -3 Units / -15.19% ROI
- 10-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.05 Units / 5.28% ROI
Blue Jays vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -250 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Anthony Rizzo (NYY) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Alex Verdugo (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Bo Bichette (TOR) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Anthony Rizzo (NYY) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .032 (1-for-31) against Marcus Stroman with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .160 — 100th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has located his fastballs down 59% of the time (77/130) this season — highest among in AL; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has allowed three-ball counts to 36% of batters they faced (16/45 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — fourth Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has allowed three-ball counts to 33% of batters they faced (23/69 PA’s) this season — highest among in AL; League Avg: 19% — second Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kevin Gausman allowed a slugging percentage of just .169 (71 Total Bases / 420 ABs) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .258 — 95th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has located his fastball up for a strike 75% (357/474) of the time since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of 36% (500/1,379) against Kevin Gausman since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has thrown his fastball for a strike 77% (2,301/3,009) of the time since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 67% — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Yankees are 22-17 (.564) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Yankees were just 10-56 (.152) when they allowed 5 or more runs in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .219.
The Yankees were 54-15 (.783) when they hit 2 or more home runs in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .690.
The Yankees are 58-16 (.784) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .689.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Blue Jays are 21-15 (.583) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
The Blue Jays are 168-38 (.816) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
The Blue Jays are 15-9 (.625) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .421.
The Blue Jays were 20-10 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
The Yankees batted just .227 in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 41% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Yankees hitters had a groundball batting average of just .212 in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Yankees hitters are slugging just .314 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .424.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays batted just .240 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
The Blue Jays batted .272 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .357 (143 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Blue Jays hitters have just 22 strikeouts in 143 PA’s (15%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .218 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .216 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Yankees pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .197 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .231.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers won only 15% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Blue Jays vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
- Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
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