Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 17

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Toronto Blue Jays' Bo Bichette swings at a pitch from the Baltimore Orioles during the first inning of a baseball game, Wednesday, June 14, 2023, in Baltimore.
(AP Photo/Julio Cortez)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 17, 2024, 3:02 PM
  • The Blue Jays are -120 favorites vs the Yankees
  • Yankees vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Yankees / Blue Jays TV Channel: YES | MLBN | RSN

The New York Yankees (+100) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-120) on Wednesday, April 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.

This season, the Yankees are 12-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 10-8 ATS.

Yankees vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Yankees starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman 1-1, 2.12 ERA
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 0-2, 11.58 ERA

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Yankees+1.5 -210O 8 +100+100
Blue Jays -1.5 +160U 8 -120-120

Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Trent Grisham has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Austin Wells has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 7 games (+7.15 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Austin Wells has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+6.75 Units / 94% ROI)
  • Trent Grisham has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 5 games (+5.75 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Austin Wells has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 5 games (+5.30 Units / 75% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jose Berrios has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 23 of his last 33 games (+10.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Jose Berrios has hit the Earned Runs Under in 23 of his last 33 games (+10.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Chris Bassitt has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 13 of his last 18 games at home (+8.35 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Cavan Biggio has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.10 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Cavan Biggio has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 8 games (+8.05 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 43 away games (+12.90 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 20 away games (+9.00 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 away games (+8.40 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 66 games at home (+12.34 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.66 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games at home (+1.85 Units / 15% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 9-9 against the Run Line (+0.35 Units / 1.51% ROI).

  • 12-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.35 Units / 18.75% ROI
  • 6-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.4 Units / -31.6% ROI
  • 11-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.5 Units / 23.14% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 10-8 against the Run Line (+0.65 Units / 2.59% ROI).

  • 10-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.25 Units / 5.48% ROI
  • 8-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -3 Units / -15.19% ROI
  • 10-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.05 Units / 5.28% ROI

Blue Jays vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 +210 0.5 -250
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 +375 0.5 -550
Anthony Rizzo (NYY) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750

Blue Jays vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Anthony Volpe (NYY) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Alex Verdugo (NYY) 0.5 -225 0.5 +160

Blue Jays vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 +110 0.5 -145
Anthony Rizzo (NYY) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Bo Bichette (TOR) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Justin Turner (TOR) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210

Blue Jays vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Opponents are hitting just .032 (1-for-31) against Marcus Stroman with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .160 — 100th Percentile.

Marcus Stroman has located his fastballs down 59% of the time (77/130) this season — highest among in AL; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Marcus Stroman has allowed three-ball counts to 36% of batters they faced (16/45 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — fourth Percentile.

Marcus Stroman has allowed three-ball counts to 33% of batters they faced (23/69 PA’s) this season — highest among in AL; League Avg: 19% — second Percentile.

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kevin Gausman allowed a slugging percentage of just .169 (71 Total Bases / 420 ABs) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .258 — 95th Percentile.

Kevin Gausman has located his fastball up for a strike 75% (357/474) of the time since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of 36% (500/1,379) against Kevin Gausman since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.

Kevin Gausman has thrown his fastball for a strike 77% (2,301/3,009) of the time since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 67% — 100th Percentile.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Yankees are 22-17 (.564) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.

The Yankees were just 10-56 (.152) when they allowed 5 or more runs in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .219.

The Yankees were 54-15 (.783) when they hit 2 or more home runs in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .690.

The Yankees are 58-16 (.784) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .689.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Blue Jays are 21-15 (.583) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.

The Blue Jays are 168-38 (.816) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .719.

The Blue Jays are 15-9 (.625) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .421.

The Blue Jays were 20-10 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Yankees batted just .227 in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 41% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Yankees hitters had a groundball batting average of just .212 in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Yankees hitters are slugging just .314 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .424.

The Blue Jays batted just .240 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.

The Blue Jays batted .272 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .254.

Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .357 (143 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .320.

Blue Jays hitters have just 22 strikeouts in 143 PA’s (15%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .218 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .254.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .216 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Yankees pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .197 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .231.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Blue Jays pitchers won only 15% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Blue Jays vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
  • Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
  • Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
  • Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
  • Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
  • Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
  • DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
  • Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
  • Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
  • Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.