- The Yankees are -120 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Yankees vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Yankees / Blue Jays TV Channel: RSN | YES
The New York Yankees (-110) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-110) on Friday, June 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Yankees are 52-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 37-43 ATS.
Yankees vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman 7-3, 3.16 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi 4-7, 4.02 ERA
Yankees vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +150 | O 8.5 -115 | -110 |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -185 | U 8.5 -105 | -110 |
Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s MLB game with 53.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Aaron Judge has hit the Home Runs Over in 22 of his last 45 games (+23.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 37 of his last 47 games (+22.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 47 games (+18.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 47 games (+17.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 46 games (+13.55 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 32 games (+17.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+13.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 19 games at home (+12.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+10.25 Units / 205% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.65 Units / 30% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 49 games (+16.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 49 games (+16.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 60 games (+14.19 Units / 20% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 26 games (+11.10 Units / 38% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 32 of their last 52 games (+11.00 Units / 14% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 79 games (+10.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+5.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+4.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.90 Units / 28% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 46-37 against the Run Line (+13.2 Units / 13.31% ROI).
- 52-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.65 Units / 7.13% ROI
- 42-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.05 Units / -1.15% ROI
- 39-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.15 Units / -7.83% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 37-43 against the Run Line (-13 Units / -12.23% ROI).
- 37-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.25 Units / -12.66% ROI
- 36-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.25 Units / -10.53% ROI
- 41-36 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.1 Units / 1.25% ROI
Blue Jays vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -275 |
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| J.D. Davis (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -120 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Bo Bichette (TOR) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcus Stroman (NYY) | 3.5 -130 | 3.5 +100 |
| Yusei Kikuchi (TOR) | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Marcus Stroman has located his fastballs down 55% of the time (324/591) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 98th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has a strike rate of just 57% (215/375) this month (4 games) — lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has a strike rate of just 60% (904/1,507) this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has allowed three-ball counts to 28% of batters they faced (56/204 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — first Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed a slugging percentage of .738 (31 Total Bases / 42 ABs) on fastballs away this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .357 — first Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (87/256) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .223 (43-for-193) against Yusei Kikuchi with two-strikes this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .163 — fourth Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (87/256) when he’s behind in the count this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 95th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Yankees are 24-20 (.545) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Yankees are 58-18 (.763) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .620.
The Yankees are 56-59 (.487) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .363.
The Yankees are 51-23 (.689) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .532.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Blue Jays are just 3-36 (.077) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .145.
The Blue Jays are 27-22 (.551) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Blue Jays are 4-2 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are just 14-62 (.184) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in just 2,086 of their 9,120 plate appearances (23%) since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees hitters are slugging .698 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .562.
Yankees hitters have drawn 373 walks in 3,565 PA’s (10%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 99 walks in 848 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 634 strikeouts in 3,301 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .333 (2,062 PA’s) against LHP since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .320.
The Blue Jays are batting .258 on the road since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .469 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .562.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .199 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .232.
The Yankees have allowed 7.33 runs per game (88/12) over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.53.
Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 6.92 (104.0 IP) over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.
Yankees pitchers have won 58% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 243 of 3,607 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers won only 15% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Blue Jays pitchers had allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Blue Jays vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
- Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
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