- The Yankees are -110 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Yankees vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Yankees / Blue Jays TV Channel: RSN | YES
The New York Yankees (-110) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-110) on Saturday, June 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Yankees are 53-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 37-44 ATS.
Yankees vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Nestor Cortes 4-6, 3.41 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt 6-6, 3.44 ERA
Yankees vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +150 | O 8.5 -115 | -110 |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -185 | U 8.5 -105 | -110 |
Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 55.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Aaron Judge has hit the Home Runs Over in 22 of his last 45 games (+23.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 37 of his last 47 games (+22.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 47 games (+18.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 47 games (+17.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 46 games (+13.55 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 32 games (+17.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+13.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 19 games at home (+12.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+10.25 Units / 205% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.65 Units / 30% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 50 games (+18.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 61 games (+12.79 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.10 Units / 41% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 32 of their last 53 games (+10.00 Units / 13% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 80 games (+9.50 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+6.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+5.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.05 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.35 Units / 26% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 47-37 against the Run Line (+14.75 Units / 14.73% ROI).
- 53-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.65 Units / 7.88% ROI
- 43-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.05 Units / -0.05% ROI
- 39-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.35 Units / -9.03% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 37-44 against the Run Line (-14.75 Units / -13.65% ROI).
- 37-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.35 Units / -13.57% ROI
- 37-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.25 Units / -9.29% ROI
- 41-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -0.11% ROI
Blue Jays vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -275 |
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| J.D. Davis (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -120 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Bo Bichette (TOR) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcus Stroman (NYY) | 3.5 -130 | 3.5 +100 |
| Yusei Kikuchi (TOR) | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 33% (78/238) against Nestor Cortes this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% (59/194) against Nestor Cortes in two-strike counts since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 96 total IP; League Avg: 45% — second Percentile.
Nestor Cortes has averaged 77.4 MPH on sliders since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total IP; League Avg: 84.9 — 0 Percentile.
Nestor Cortes has allowed an OPS of .823 (153 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .642 — seventh Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 13% (20/153) against Chris Bassitt with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 74.5 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season (250 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total IP; League Avg: 80.6
Chris Bassitt has averaged 70.8 MPH on curveballs since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 96 total IP; League Avg: 79.6 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 12% (13/109) against Chris Bassitt on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Yankees are 24-20 (.545) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Yankees are 58-18 (.763) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .619.
The Yankees are 27-5 (.844) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .635.
The Yankees are 138-36 (.793) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .698.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Blue Jays are 4-2 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are 27-22 (.551) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Blue Jays are just 12-22 (.353) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Blue Jays are 53-43 (.552) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .459.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .780 (2,317 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .702.
Yankees hitters are slugging .448 against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .392.
Yankees hitters are slugging .702 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .562.
Yankees hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in just 2,099 of their 9,166 plate appearances (23%) since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 1,736 strikeouts in 9,090 PA’s (19%) in righty-righty matchups since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 934 strikeouts in 5,005 PA’s (19%) in righty-righty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 2,494 strikeouts in 12,082 PA’s (21%) against RHP since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .344 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
The Yankees have won 50% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .200 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .232.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .205 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 7.27 (104.0 IP) over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.34.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Blue Jays have won just just 4% of the time this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 46 of 714 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 34% with two-strikes over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Blue Jays vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
- Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
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