Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 8

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Toronto Blue Jays' Vladimir Guerrero Jr. plays against the Boston Red Sox during the fourth inning of a baseball game, Thursday, May 4, 2023, in Boston. (AP Photo/Michael Dwyer)
(AP Photo/Michael Dwyer)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 08, 2024, 11:37 AM
  • Yankees / Blue Jays TV Channel: RSN1 | MLBN

The New York Yankees (-155) visit TD Ballpark to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (+130) on Friday, March 8, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 1:07pm EST in Dunedin, FL.

This season, the Yankees are 4-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 2-7 ATS.

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Moneyline
Yankees-155
Blue Jays +130

Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Under in 2 of his last 3 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Austin Wells has hit the Singles Under in 4 of his last 6 away games (+1.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Austin Wells has hit the RBIs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+1.35 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Franchy Cordero has hit the RBIs Over in 1 of his last 2 games (+1.05 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Everson Pereira has hit the RBIs Over in 1 of his last 2 games (+0.90 Units / 45% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Tyler Heineman has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games (+4.10 Units / 205% ROI)
  • Santiago Espinal has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Nathan Lukes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 43 away games (+12.90 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 20 away games (+9.00 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 away games (+8.40 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 66 games at home (+12.34 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.66 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games at home (+1.85 Units / 15% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Yankees are 5-5 against the Run Line (-0.8 Units / -6.54% ROI).

  • 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.53 Units / -17.26% ROI
  • 4-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.5 Units / -4.57% ROI
  • 4-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.5 Units / -4.52% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Blue Jays are 2-7 against the Run Line (-5.1 Units / -52.58% ROI).

  • 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -6 Units / -42.7% ROI
  • 4-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.35 Units / -13.57% ROI
  • 5-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.8 Units / 8.11% ROI

Marcus Stroman threw fastballs down 56% of the time (657/1,169) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 27% — 99th Percentile.

Opposing hitters had a groundball rate of 66% (74/113) against Marcus Stroman when he was behind in the count in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters had a groundball rate of 63% (134/214) against Marcus Stroman in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 61% (161/265) against Marcus Stroman in non-two strike counts in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 99th Percentile.

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Chris Bassitt has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 74.8 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (199 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 80.6

Chris Bassitt has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 81.1 MPH on inside pitches since last season (410 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 85.7

Opponents had a miss rate of just 11% (14/128) against Chris Bassitt on changeups in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 31% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 15% (17/110) against Chris Bassitt on curveballs since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Yankees were just 11-41 (.212) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.

The Yankees are 44-48 (.478) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .363.

The Yankees are 108-28 (.794) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .697.

The Yankees are 19-17 (.528) after a win as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .417.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Blue Jays are 158-36 (.814) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .718.

The Blue Jays are 68-103 (.398) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .282.

The Blue Jays are 18-13 (.581) after a loss as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.

The Blue Jays were 34-52 (.395) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .266.

The Yankees batted just .227 in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

The Yankees batted just .234 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.

The Yankees batted just .313 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .348.

Yankees hitters had a groundball batting average of just .212 in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

The Blue Jays batted just .240 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.

Blue Jays hitters struck out just 268 times in 1,405 PA’s (19%) against LHP in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Blue Jays hitters had an OBP of .334 (3,202 PA’s) on the road in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Blue Jays hitters had 107 extra-base hits out of 340 total hits (just 32%) against LHP in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .215 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.

Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .215 against Yankees pitchers in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

In games when their opponents scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees won just just 14% of the time in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Yankees pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in 65% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Blue Jays pitchers had an ERA of 3.90 (706.2 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.

Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 25% in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Blue Jays pitchers won only 15% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Blue Jays vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Cavan Biggio (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
  • Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Wandy Peralta (New York Yankees): Personal, Day-To-Day
  • Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
  • Jose Trevino (New York Yankees): Calf, Out

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.