Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 8

Toronto Blue Jays' Vladimir Guerrero Jr. plays against the Boston Red Sox during the fourth inning of a baseball game, Thursday, May 4, 2023, in Boston.
(AP Photo/Michael Dwyer)
  • Yankees / Blue Jays TV Channel: RSN1 | MLBN

The New York Yankees (-155) visit TD Ballpark to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (+130) on Friday, March 8, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 1:07pm EST in Dunedin, FL.

This season, the Yankees are 4-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 2-7 ATS.

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Moneyline
Yankees-155
Blue Jays +130

Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Under in 2 of his last 3 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Austin Wells has hit the Singles Under in 4 of his last 6 away games (+1.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Austin Wells has hit the RBIs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+1.35 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Franchy Cordero has hit the RBIs Over in 1 of his last 2 games (+1.05 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Everson Pereira has hit the RBIs Over in 1 of his last 2 games (+0.90 Units / 45% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Tyler Heineman has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games (+4.10 Units / 205% ROI)
  • Santiago Espinal has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Nathan Lukes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 43 away games (+12.90 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 20 away games (+9.00 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 away games (+8.40 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 66 games at home (+12.34 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.66 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games at home (+1.85 Units / 15% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Yankees are 5-5 against the Run Line (-0.8 Units / -6.54% ROI).

  • 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.53 Units / -17.26% ROI
  • 4-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.5 Units / -4.57% ROI
  • 4-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.5 Units / -4.52% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Blue Jays are 2-7 against the Run Line (-5.1 Units / -52.58% ROI).

  • 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -6 Units / -42.7% ROI
  • 4-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.35 Units / -13.57% ROI
  • 5-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.8 Units / 8.11% ROI

Marcus Stroman threw fastballs down 56% of the time (657/1,169) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 27% — 99th Percentile.

Opposing hitters had a groundball rate of 66% (74/113) against Marcus Stroman when he was behind in the count in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters had a groundball rate of 63% (134/214) against Marcus Stroman in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 61% (161/265) against Marcus Stroman in non-two strike counts in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 99th Percentile.

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Chris Bassitt has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 74.8 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (199 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 80.6

Chris Bassitt has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 81.1 MPH on inside pitches since last season (410 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 85.7

Opponents had a miss rate of just 11% (14/128) against Chris Bassitt on changeups in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 31% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 15% (17/110) against Chris Bassitt on curveballs since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Yankees were just 11-41 (.212) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.

The Yankees are 44-48 (.478) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .363.

The Yankees are 108-28 (.794) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .697.

The Yankees are 19-17 (.528) after a win as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .417.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Blue Jays are 158-36 (.814) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .718.

The Blue Jays are 68-103 (.398) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .282.

The Blue Jays are 18-13 (.581) after a loss as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.

The Blue Jays were 34-52 (.395) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .266.

The Yankees batted just .227 in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

The Yankees batted just .234 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.

The Yankees batted just .313 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .348.

Yankees hitters had a groundball batting average of just .212 in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

The Blue Jays batted just .240 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.

Blue Jays hitters struck out just 268 times in 1,405 PA’s (19%) against LHP in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Blue Jays hitters had an OBP of .334 (3,202 PA’s) on the road in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Blue Jays hitters had 107 extra-base hits out of 340 total hits (just 32%) against LHP in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .215 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.

Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .215 against Yankees pitchers in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

In games when their opponents scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees won just just 14% of the time in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Yankees pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in 65% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Blue Jays pitchers had an ERA of 3.90 (706.2 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.

Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 25% in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Blue Jays pitchers won only 15% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Blue Jays vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Cavan Biggio (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
  • Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Wandy Peralta (New York Yankees): Personal, Day-To-Day
  • Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
  • Jose Trevino (New York Yankees): Calf, Out

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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.

Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.