- The Yankees are -145 favorites vs the Cubs
- Yankees vs Cubs Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Yankees / Cubs TV Channel: MARQ | YES | MLBN
The New York Yankees (-135) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (+115) on Friday, September 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Yankees are 80-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 69-71 ATS.
Yankees vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Luis Gil 12-6, 3.40 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Jordan Wicks 2-2, 3.75 ERA
Yankees vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +125 | O 7.5 -105 | -135 |
| Cubs | +1.5 -155 | U 7.5 -115 | +115 |
Yankees vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s MLB game with 59.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 46 games (+19.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 40 games (+18.60 Units / 47% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 46 games (+18.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 29 games (+14.30 Units / 49% ROI)
- Austin Wells has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 28 games (+11.70 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christian Bethancour has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 11 games (+26.00 Units / 236% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Under in 31 of his last 49 games (+23.10 Units / 47% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 23 games at home (+19.20 Units / 70% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 35 of his last 49 games (+18.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Under in 36 of his last 49 games (+15.20 Units / 19% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 55 of their last 83 games (+25.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 72 away games (+12.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 10 away games (+10.45 Units / 91% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 away games (+5.55 Units / 40% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 72 away games (+2.00 Units / 2% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 29 games (+12.45 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 52 games at home (+12.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 53 games (+12.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+9.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+7.85 Units / 29% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 73-67 against the Run Line (+8.3 Units / 4.86% ROI).
- 80-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.8 Units / -6.63% ROI
- 78-58 when betting on the total runs Over for +13.75 Units / 8.89% ROI
- 58-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -27.6 Units / -17.97% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 69-71 against the Run Line (-13.9 Units / -7.32% ROI).
- 72-68 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units / 0.92% ROI
- 65-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.15 Units / -7.87% ROI
- 70-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.35 Units / -0.88% ROI
Cubs vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -300 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Cubs vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Cubs vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Cubs vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Wicks (CHC) | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +110 |
| Luis Gil (NYY) | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -130 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .131 (22-for-168) against Luis Gil versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .253 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .185 (83-for-449) against Luis Gil since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 98th Percentile.
Luis Gil has walked 33 of 273 right-handed batters (12%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Luis Gil has thrown his changeup 28% of the time (145/524) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total CH; League Avg: 10% — 98th Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jordan Wicks has not allowed a walk in his last 60 PAs against a RHH dating back to April 12nd — Ryan Borucki has the longest active streak at 105.
Jordan Wicks has not allowed a walk in any of his last three starts — Tyler Holton has the longest active streak at 5.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Yankees are 27-20 (.574) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Yankees are 43-10 (.811) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .640.
The Yankees are 117-36 (.765) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .638.
The Yankees are 26-14 (.650) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .470.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Cubs are 26-7 (.788) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .640.
The Cubs are just 14-182 (.071) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.
The Cubs are 31-7 (.816) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .703.
The Cubs are 54-8 (.871) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .800.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 331 walks in 3,158 PA’s (10%) against starting pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .796 (3,815 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Yankees hitters have a groundball batting average of just .219 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Yankees hitters are slugging .460 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .898 (515 PA’s) over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
The Cubs are batting .354 with runners on base over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Cubs hitters have grounded into 69 double plays in 914 opportunities (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
The Cubs are batting .285 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .239.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .206 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .213 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Yankees pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 64 double plays in 968 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 108 of 1,241 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Cubs pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 35% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Cubs pitchers have an ERA of 3.22 (615.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.01.
Cubs vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Chicago Cubs – No Injuries Reported
- New York Yankees – No Injuries Reported
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