- The Yankees are -140 favorites vs the Cubs
- Yankees vs Cubs Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Yankees / Cubs TV Channel: MARQ | YES | MLBN
The New York Yankees (-140) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (+120) on Saturday, September 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Yankees are 81-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 69-72 ATS.
Yankees vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Clarke Schmidt 5-3, 2.52 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Javier Assad 7-4, 3.23 ERA
Yankees vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +125 | O 7.5 -105 | -140 |
| Cubs | +1.5 -155 | U 7.5 -115 | +120 |
Yankees vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 61.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Singles Over in 35 of his last 47 games (+20.70 Units / 35% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 47 games (+19.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 41 games (+17.60 Units / 43% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 30 games (+13.30 Units / 44% ROI)
- Austin Wells has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 29 games (+12.70 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christian Bethancour has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 11 games (+26.00 Units / 236% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Under in 32 of his last 50 games (+24.10 Units / 48% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 24 games at home (+20.20 Units / 71% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 36 of his last 50 games (+19.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Under in 37 of his last 50 games (+16.20 Units / 20% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 55 of their last 84 games (+24.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 73 away games (+14.15 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 11 away games (+9.45 Units / 76% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 away games (+6.70 Units / 45% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 73 away games (+3.00 Units / 3% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 53 games at home (+13.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 54 games (+11.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 36 games (+8.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+6.80 Units / 24% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 74-67 against the Run Line (+9.7 Units / 5.64% ROI).
- 81-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.8 Units / -6.15% ROI
- 78-59 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.65 Units / 8.12% ROI
- 59-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -26.6 Units / -17.19% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 69-72 against the Run Line (-15.5 Units / -8.1% ROI).
- 72-69 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.55 Units / 0.32% ROI
- 65-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.25 Units / -8.52% ROI
- 71-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.35 Units / -0.23% ROI
Cubs vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Cubs vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Cubs vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Cubs vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Javier Assad (CHC) | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -160 |
| Clarke Schmidt (NYY) | 5.5 +130 | 5.5 -165 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against Clarke Schmidt in the 2023 season was 382.5 feet — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 399.3
Clarke Schmidt had an average spin rate of 2627.0 RPM on fastballs in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 2239.5 — 100th Percentile.
The average home run distance against Clarke Schmidt since last season is 382.9 feet — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: 398.5
Clarke Schmidt has allowed an OBP of just .265 (211 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: .322 — 97th Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Javier Assad has allowed an OPS of just .440 (281 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 185 total IP; League Avg: .727 — 100th Percentile.
Javier Assad has allowed an OBP of just .224 (246 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: .322 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .131 (28-for-213) against Javier Assad with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: .252 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 41% (397/975) against Javier Assad this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 0 Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Yankees are 26-14 (.650) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .470.
The Yankees are 27-20 (.574) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Yankees are just 18-31 (.367) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Yankees are 77-52 (.597) after a home win since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .531.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Cubs are just 55-49 (.529) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .588.
The Cubs are 13-7 (.650) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are 26-7 (.788) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .640.
The Cubs are just 14-182 (.071) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 191 walks in 1,612 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have a groundball batting average of just .223 since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Yankees hitters have drawn 335 walks in 3,180 PA’s (10%) against starting pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 575 walks in 5,442 PA’s (11%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting .285 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .327 (2,841 PA’s) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of just .677 (2,482 PA’s) at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .722.
The Cubs are batting .164 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .206 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .230 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .256.
Yankees pitchers are throwing 4.03 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
The Cubs have allowed 3.58 runs per game (247/69) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.43.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cubs pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.3 MPH (4,045 batted balls) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Cubs pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 66 double plays in 977 opportunities (7%) this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cubs vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Chicago Cubs – No Injuries Reported
- New York Yankees – No Injuries Reported
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