- The Yankees are -105 favorites vs the Mariners
- Yankees vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Yankees / Mariners TV Channel: RTNW | YES | MLBN
The New York Yankees (-105) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-115) on Thursday, September 19, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Yankees are 89-63 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 66-86 ATS.
Yankees vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Clarke Schmidt 5-3, 2.41 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert 7-11, 3.25 ERA
Yankees vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +165 | O 7 +105 | -105 |
| Mariners | +1.5 -200 | U 7 -125 | -115 |
Yankees vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 53.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Yankees vs Mariners and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 41 games (+22.85 Units / 43% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 49 games (+20.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 24 of his last 33 games (+13.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 13 away games (+13.70 Units / 105% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Runs Under in his last 13 games (+13.00 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 28 games (+33.50 Units / 120% ROI)
- Logan Gilbert has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 22 of his last 30 games (+13.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 19 games at home (+12.75 Units / 62% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+12.50 Units / 40% ROI)
- Luis Urias has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+12.15 Units / 20% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 57 of their last 95 games (+17.95 Units / 17% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 45 of their last 77 away games (+14.95 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 15 away games (+11.65 Units / 68% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+9.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 47 of their last 77 away games (+4.40 Units / 4% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 76 games at home (+13.27 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+8.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 67 games at home (+6.64 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 42 of their last 77 games at home (+6.25 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 67 games at home (+6.05 Units / 8% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 78-74 against the Run Line (+7.85 Units / 4.29% ROI).
- 89-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.75 Units / -4.45% ROI
- 80-67 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.8 Units / 3.45% ROI
- 67-80 when betting on the total runs Under for -20.65 Units / -12.38% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 66-86 against the Run Line (-24.25 Units / -12.75% ROI).
- 77-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.66 Units / -8.77% ROI
- 69-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.5 Units / -6.93% ROI
- 74-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.73 Units / -1.04% ROI
Mariners vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Mariners vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Justin Turner (SEA) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Mariners vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Mariners vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Clarke Schmidt (NYY) | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -140 |
| Logan Gilbert (SEA) | 7.5 +120 | 7.5 -155 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Clarke Schmidt had a first-pitch strike rate of 86% (19/22) in his last start — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Clarke Schmidt had an average spin rate of 2627.0 RPM on fastballs in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 2239.5 — 100th Percentile.
Clarke Schmidt has allowed an OBP of just .265 (211 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 125 total IP; League Avg: .321 — 98th Percentile.
Clarke Schmidt has an average spin rate of 2613.5 RPM on fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 125 total IP; League Avg: 2235.7 — 100th Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Gilbert has allowed a slugging percentage of just .238 (62 Total Bases / 261 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .381 — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .174 (270 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OPS of just .412 (270 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .671 — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has a strike rate of 78% (374/478) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 70% — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Yankees are 29-15 (.659) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .464.
The Yankees are 47-29 (.618) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .476.
The Yankees are 27-20 (.574) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Yankees are 77-23 (.770) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .626.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Mariners are just 5-29 (.147) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Mariners are 209-4 (.981) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Mariners are 140-3 (.979) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Mariners are 73-14 (.839) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .739.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 480 walks in 4,404 PA’s (11%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 206 walks in 1,687 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 25 walks in 138 PA’s (18%) against LHP this month (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 624 walks in 5,855 PA’s (11%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .210 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .217 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
The Mariners have scored first in 74% of their games against division opponents this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Mariners are batting just .197 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .207 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .216 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
In games when their opponents scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees won just just 14% of the time in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .252 (1,351 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .304.
The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 26% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 2.82 (702.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.97.
Mariners pitchers have walked 71 of 1,351 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mariners vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Seattle Mariners – No Injuries Reported
- New York Yankees – No Injuries Reported
Bet now on Yankees vs Mariners and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
