- The Yankees are -160 favorites vs the Royals
- Yankees vs Royals Over / Under today: 10.5 Runs
- Yankees / Royals TV Channel: YES | BSKC | MLBN
The New York Yankees (-160) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+135) on Thursday, June 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the Yankees are 49-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 41-28 ATS.
Yankees vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Nestor Cortes 3-5, 3.70 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Alec Marsh 5-3, 4.05 ERA
Yankees vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 -105 | O 10.5 -110 | -160 |
| Royals | +1.5 -115 | U 10.5 -110 | +135 |
Yankees vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 59.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 30 of his last 36 games (+21.65 Units / 44% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Home Runs Over in 17 of his last 34 games (+20.95 Units / 62% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 36 games (+19.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 36 games (+17.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 35 games (+13.15 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 31 games (+17.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 31 games (+14.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+13.60 Units / 46% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 31 games (+11.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 46 games (+9.65 Units / 14% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 36 games (+24.95 Units / 56% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 36 games (+24.90 Units / 58% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 39 games (+23.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 34 of their last 47 games (+20.19 Units / 36% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 49 of their last 70 games (+19.90 Units / 19% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 36 games at home (+11.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 65 games (+11.04 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.35 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+6.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 36 games at home (+5.70 Units / 12% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 43-27 against the Run Line (+21.2 Units / 25.18% ROI).
- 49-21 when betting on the Moneyline for +19.9 Units / 19.34% ROI
- 33-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.45 Units / -7.07% ROI
- 35-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.1 Units / -1.43% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 41-28 against the Run Line (+7.44 Units / 7.72% ROI).
- 39-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.1 Units / 12.56% ROI
- 32-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.35 Units / -7.14% ROI
- 34-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.2 Units / -1.6% ROI
Royals vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -350 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Nick Loftin (KC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Freddy Fermin (KC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Royals vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Freddy Fermin (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Nick Loftin (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| DJ LeMahieu (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Royals vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
Royals vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Marsh (KC) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
| Nestor Cortes (NYY) | 5.5 +130 | 5.5 -165 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 30% (58/194) against Nestor Cortes this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .486 (17-for-35) against Nestor Cortes on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .327 — third Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (45/169) against Nestor Cortes in two-strike counts since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 0 Percentile.
Nestor Cortes has an ERA of 6.17 (35.0 IP) on the road this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.60 — second Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alec Marsh has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 95.7 MPH on the first pitch of at-bats since last season (61 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: 90.3
Alec Marsh has allowed an OPS of 1.395 (22 PA’s) against right-handed batters this month (2 games) — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .664 — first Percentile.
Alec Marsh has a strikeout rate of 50% (9 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 games) — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.
Alec Marsh has allowed an OPS of 1.050 (46 PA’s) this month (2 games) — 3rd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .703 — fifth Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Yankees are 9-5 (.643) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .239.
The Yankees are 24-19 (.558) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Yankees are 27-11 (.711) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .482.
The Yankees are 18-6 (.750) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .464.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Royals are just 18-94 (.161) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .365.
The Royals are just 46-66 (.411) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.
The Royals are just 23-51 (.311) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .488.
The Royals are just 15-16 (.484) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .588.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters are slugging .746 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .554.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .795 (1,986 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .697.
Yankees hitters are slugging .458 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .387.
Yankees hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .284 (4,127 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Royals have won just 52% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Royals are batting .331 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .268.
The Royals won just 46% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have won 78% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Yankees have won 67% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Yankees pitchers have won 53% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 24% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Royals pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Royals won just 17% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
- Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
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