Milwaukee Bucks vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Dec. 15

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 15, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Grizzlies (18-9) are -2.5 favorites vs. the Bucks (20-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 226.5 points
  • Thursday, December 15, 2022 at 8:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSSE & BSWI

The Milwaukee Bucks visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Memphis.

The Grizzlies are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Bucks vs Grizzlies Over/Under is 226.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 15-10 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 13-12 against the spread.


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Bucks vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Milwaukee Bucks+2.5 -110O 226.5 -110+115
Memphis Grizzlies -2.5 -110U 226.5 -110-140

Grizzlies vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Grizzlies will win Thursday‘s game with 53.4% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.6% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Bucks and Grizzlies, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1Q Spread in 52 of their last 82 games (+20.35 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 34 of their last 50 games (+16.40 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 44 games (+13.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 17 away games (+12.80 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 57 of their last 86 games (+12.75 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 66 of their last 93 games (+35.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1H Spread in 58 of their last 84 games (+30.55 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 52 of their last 74 games (+25.40 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 61 of their last 88 games (+22.60 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1Q Spread in 58 of their last 91 games (+21.80 Units / 22% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 15-10 (+4 Units / 13.47% ROI).

  • 20-7 against the Moneyline (+3.75 Units / 4.97% ROI)
  • 12-15 against the Over for game total points (-4.5 Units / -15.15% ROI)
  • 15-12 against the Under for game total points (+1.8 Units / 6.06% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 13-12 (-0.2 Units / -0.67% ROI).

  • 18-9 against the Moneyline (+7.75 Units / 13.4% ROI)
  • 13-13 against the Over for game total points (-1.3 Units / -4.38% ROI)
  • 13-13 against the Under for game total points (-1.3 Units / -4.38% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 77 games (-33.56 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 75 games (-26.30 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 88 games (-24.10 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 63 games (-21.88 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 86 games (-20.49 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 74 games (-30.52 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 42 of their last 86 games (-29.15 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 83 games (-24.65 Units / -10% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 86 games (-24.38 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 92 games (-23.57 Units / -22% ROI)

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Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Bucks are 35-11 (.761) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

The Bucks are 35-23 (.603) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .505

The Bucks are 48-20 (.706) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

The Bucks are 52-23 (.693) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Memphis Grizzlies are 4-16 (.200) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-worst among NBA teams. The New Orleans Pelicans have averaged 45.2 rebounds per game (4,291 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-highest among NBA teams.

The Grizzlies are 64-34 (.653) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .567

The Grizzlies are 54-10 (.844) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .704

The Grizzlies are 37-21 (.638) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

Injury Report: Grizzlies vs. BucksThursday‘s Game, Dec. 15

  • Desmond Bane (Grizzlies): The Grizzlies announced that Bane is projected to return in 3-4 weeks.
  • Danny Green (Grizzlies): The 76ers announced that Green has a torn ACL and LCL in his left knee.
  • Vince Williams Jr. (Grizzlies): Williams is questionable for Thursday’s (Dec. 15) game against Milwaukee.
  • MarJon Beauchamp (Bucks): Beauchamp is probable for Thursday’s (Dec. 15) game against Memphis.
  • Jrue Holiday (Bucks): Holiday is out for Thursday’s (Dec. 15) game against Memphis.
  • Joe Ingles (Bucks): Bucks GM Jon Horst said Ingles is expected to return sometime in January.

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have an eFG% of 52% this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Bucks have averaged 12.8 offensive rebounds per game (154 rebounds/12 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.6

The Bucks have averaged 1.16 points per shot (532 points/460 shots) on the road this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26

The Bucks have averaged 19.8 points in the paint per game (238 points/12 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.8

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 27.9 points in the paint per game (4,632 points/166 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.9

The Grizzlies have averaged 56.5 points in the paint per game (5,372 points/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.3

The Grizzlies have averaged 57.1 points in the paint per game (2,686 points/47 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.8

The Grizzlies have averaged 56.7 points in the paint per game (4,760 points/84 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.1

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (3,441 rebounds/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8

The Bucks have averaged 37.1 defensive rebounds per game (6,165 rebounds/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Bucks have averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (456 rebounds/12 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.3

The Bucks have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (405 blocks/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.2 steals per game (1,535 steals/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.1 blocks per game (294 blocks/48 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.3 steals per game (880 steals/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.1 steals per game (428 steals/47 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6


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