- The Bucks (45-18) are -4.5 favorites vs. the Wizards (30-33)
- Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points
- Sunday, March 5, 2023 at 7:30pm EST
- Watch the game on NBCS-DC & BSWI
The Milwaukee Bucks visit Capital One Arena to take on the Washington Wizards on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Washington.
The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-105).
The Bucks vs Wizards Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 35-25 against the spread, while the Wizards are 31-31 against the spread.
Bet now on Wizards vs Bucks and all NBA games with BetMGM
Bucks vs. Wizards Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Milwaukee Bucks | -6.5 -105 | O 227.5 -110 | -250 |
Washington Wizards | +6.5 -115 | U 227.5 -110 | +190 |
Wizards vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Sunday‘s game with 61.1% confidence.
Wizards vs Bucks Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 52.9% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Bucks and Wizards, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
Bet now on Wizards vs Bucks and all NBA games with BetMGM
Bucks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 55 of their last 86 games (+20.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 80 games (+19.13 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 36 away games (+17.10 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 73 games (+15.95 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1Q Spread in 48 of their last 80 games (+13.80 Units / 16% ROI)
Wizards Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Washington Wizards have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 48 of their last 70 games (+24.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 games (+14.35 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 34 games (+13.00 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 32 games (+12.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 80 games (+12.00 Units / 13% ROI)
Milwaukee Bucks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 35-25 (+7.5 Units / 10.82% ROI).
- 45-18 against the Moneyline (+13.05 Units / 8.06% ROI)
- 30-33 against the Over for game total points (-6.3 Units / -9.09% ROI)
- 33-30 against the Under for game total points (+0 Units / 0% ROI)
Washington Wizards Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 31-31 (-3.1 Units / -4.48% ROI).
- 30-33 against the Moneyline (+2.9 Units / 3.68% ROI)
- 30-31 against the Over for game total points (-4.1 Units / -5.92% ROI)
- 31-30 against the Under for game total points (-2 Units / -2.89% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Wizards:
- The Washington Wizards have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 82 games (-31.00 Units / -34% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 80 games (-21.81 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have only hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 61 games (-18.35 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 83 games (-16.29 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 66 games (-14.03 Units / -19% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Bucks:
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 31 of their last 86 games (-29.65 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 84 games (-29.09 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 85 games (-27.32 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 45 of their last 91 games (-25.31 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 36 away games (-20.70 Units / -52% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Milwaukee Bucks
- Keys to Winning for the Washington Wizards
- Player Injuries for Milwaukee Bucks vs. Washington Wizards
- Milwaukee Bucks Offensive stats
- Washington Wizards Offensive stats
- Milwaukee Bucks Defensive stats
- Washington Wizards Defensive stats
Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards
The Milwaukee Bucks are 35-7 (.833) when winning the rebounding margin this season — tied for second-best among NBA teams. The Philadelphia 76ers have averaged 40.5 rebounds per game (2,513 rebounds/62 games) this season — third-lowest among NBA teams.
The Bucks are 22-1 (.957) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .558
The Milwaukee Bucks are 77-15 (.837) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — second-best among NBA teams. The Philadelphia 76ers have averaged 41.5 rebounds per game (5,983 rebounds/144 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — second-lowest among NBA teams.
The Bucks are 42-15 (.737) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .551
Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks
The Wizards are 2-16 (.111) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .253
The Wizards are 11-28 (.282) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .479
The Wizards are 25-66 (.275) when allowing 110 or more points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .322
The Wizards are 29-48 (.377) when grabbing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .508
Injury Report: Wizards vs. Bucks – Sunday‘s Game, Mar. 5
- Deni Avdija (Wizards): The Wizards announced that Avdija left Saturday’s (Mar. 4) game due to illness.
- Monte Morris (Wizards): Morris did not play in Saturday’s game (Mar. 4) against the Raptors.
- Wesley Matthews (Bucks): Matthews did not play in Saturday’s game (Mar. 4) against the 76ers.
Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks have averaged 8.4 second chance points per game (522 points/62 games) in the first half this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7
The Bucks have averaged 43.4 points in the paint per game (1,302 points/30 games) on the road this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7
The Bucks shot 39% from three (1,038/2,669) in the 2020-21 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%
The Bucks have averaged 117.0 points per game (25,268 points/216 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 112.1
Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends
The Wizards have made 10.6 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5
The Wizards have averaged 9.5 fast break points per game (656 points/69 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5
The Wizards are shooting 48% (2,597/5,358) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Wizards have averaged 10.7 fast break points per game (1,535 points/144 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.1
Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks have averaged 37.3 defensive rebounds per game (8,056 rebounds/216 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9
The Bucks have averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (5,332 rebounds/144 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.6
The Bucks have averaged 37.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,342 rebounds/62 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0
The Bucks have averaged 6.5 steals per game (405 steals/62 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3
Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends
The Wizards have averaged 34.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,136 rebounds/62 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0
The Wizards have averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (4,934 rebounds/144 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.6
The Wizards have averaged 6.8 steals per game (1,471 steals/216 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Wizards have averaged 34.7 defensive rebounds per game (7,491 rebounds/216 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9
Bet now on Wizards vs Bucks and all NBA games with BetMGM
Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
