Bulls vs Bucks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 5

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 05, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Bucks (57-22) are -6.5 favorites vs. the Bulls (38-41)
  • Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
  • Wednesday, April 5, 2023 at 7:30pm EDT
  • Watch the game on BSWI & NBCS-CHI

The Chicago Bulls visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Milwaukee.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Bulls vs Bucks Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bulls are 38-39 against the spread, while the Bucks are 42-32 against the spread.


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Bulls vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Chicago Bulls+7.5 -110O 231.5 -110+240
Milwaukee Bucks -7.5 -110U 231.5 -110-300

Bucks vs Bulls Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Wednesday‘s game with 67.5% confidence.

Bucks vs Bulls Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bulls will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Bulls and Bucks, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 55 of their last 88 games (+17.38 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 23 away games (+14.78 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 27 away games (+14.45 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 44 of their last 72 games (+14.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 23 away games (+12.60 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 55 of their last 89 games (+17.35 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Moneyline in 63 of their last 89 games (+17.20 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 56 of their last 91 games (+17.02 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1Q Spread in 56 of their last 95 games (+16.25 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 62 of their last 95 games (+15.75 Units / 10% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bulls have gone 38-39 (-5 Units / -5.75% ROI).

  • 38-41 against the Moneyline (-0.8 Units / -0.68% ROI)
  • 36-43 against the Over for game total points (-11.3 Units / -13% ROI)
  • 43-36 against the Under for game total points (+3.4 Units / 3.91% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 42-32 (+6.8 Units / 7.83% ROI).

  • 57-22 against the Moneyline (+14.3 Units / 5.99% ROI)
  • 39-40 against the Over for game total points (-5 Units / -5.75% ROI)
  • 40-39 against the Under for game total points (-2.9 Units / -3.34% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 95 games (-29.13 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 93 games (-28.50 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 37 of their last 95 games (-26.90 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 40 of their last 81 games (-25.43 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 72 games (-22.60 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 88 games (-28.30 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 27 of their last 72 games (-21.55 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 27 away games (-17.05 Units / -57% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 84 games (-16.80 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 61 games (-16.46 Units / -22% ROI)

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Chicago Bulls: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Chicago Bulls are 47-18 (.723) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-best among NBA teams. The Minnesota Timberwolves have averaged 51.1 rebounds per game (7,765 rebounds/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th-lowest among NBA teams.

The Bulls are winless (0-11) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .120

The Bulls are 13-27 (.325) when allowing 110 or more points this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .356

The Bulls are 19-6 (.760) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .697

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bulls

The Bucks are 51-8 (.864) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .564

The Bucks are 42-15 (.737) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

The Bucks are 44-16 (.733) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Bucks are 70-6 (.921) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .774

Injury Report: Bucks vs. BullsWednesday‘s Game, Apr. 5

  • Jevon Carter (Bucks): Carter did not play in Tuesday’s (Apr. 4) game against Washington.
  • Grayson Allen (Bucks): Allen did not play in Tuesday’s (Apr. 4) game against Washington.
  • Justin Lewis (Bulls): Lewis tore his ACL in an offseason workout. He is out indefinitely.
  • Lonzo Ball (Bulls): The Bulls are expected to shut Ball down for the rest of the season, according to Shams Charnia of The Athletic.

Chicago Bulls Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls have averaged 5.3 second chance points per game (802 points/150 games) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.6

The Bulls have made 10.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.4

The Bulls have averaged 5.6 second chance points per game (1,245 points/222 games) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.6

The Bulls have made 10.5 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.6

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks are shooting 43% from three (144/338) in the last two weeks — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Bucks have averaged 57.8 points per game (12,827 points/222 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55.0

The Bucks have made 14.9 three-pointers per game this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Bucks have made 14.4 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.4

Chicago Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,472 rebounds/68 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bulls have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (942 blocks/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Bulls have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (317 blocks/75 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Bulls have averaged 7.6 steals per game (515 steals/68 games) this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 39.3 defensive rebounds per game (8,716 rebounds/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36.0

The Bucks have averaged 39.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,705 rebounds/68 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 39.1 defensive rebounds per game (5,866 rebounds/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.8

The Bucks have averaged 4.5 blocks per game (998 blocks/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.