Chicago Bulls vs Boston Celtics Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Jan. 9

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 09, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Celtics (28-12) are -8.5 favorites vs. the Bulls (19-21)
  • Total (Over/Under): 237.5 points
  • Monday, January 9, 2023 at 7:30pm EST
  • Watch the game on NBCS-BOS & NBCS-CHI

The Chicago Bulls visit TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Boston.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The Bulls vs Celtics Over/Under is 235.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bulls are 20-19 against the spread, while the Celtics are 21-18 against the spread.


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Bulls vs. Celtics Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Chicago Bulls+8.5 -110O 235.5 -105+260
Boston Celtics -8.5 -110U 235.5 -105-350

Celtics vs Bulls Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Monday‘s game with 69.9% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Celtics will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Bulls and Celtics, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 49 games (+12.45 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 44 of their last 73 games (+12.05 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 2H Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 away games (+11.66 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 71 games (+10.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have covered the 1Q Spread in 21 of their last 31 games (+9.95 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 50 games at home (+15.80 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 45 games (+15.47 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the Spread in 56 of their last 99 games (+12.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 46 of their last 78 games (+10.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+10.40 Units / 23% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bulls have gone 20-19 (-0.9 Units / -2.05% ROI).

  • 19-21 against the Moneyline (-0.3 Units / -0.56% ROI)
  • 20-20 against the Over for game total points (-2 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 20-20 against the Under for game total points (-2 Units / -4.55% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 21-18 (+1.2 Units / 2.73% ROI).

  • 28-12 against the Moneyline (-12.2 Units / -8.65% ROI)
  • 21-19 against the Over for game total points (+0.1 Units / 0.23% ROI)
  • 19-21 against the Under for game total points (-4.1 Units / -9.32% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 100 games (-28.10 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 80 games (-25.01 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 37 of their last 75 games (-23.20 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 games (-22.30 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 77 games (-19.75 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 81 games (-28.76 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 67 games (-26.65 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 77 games (-25.88 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 33 of their last 89 games (-24.60 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only covered the 3Q Spread in 31 of their last 81 games (-24.54 Units / -28% ROI)

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Chicago Bulls: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Bulls are 24-5 (.828) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .768

The Bulls are 3-29 (.094) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .141

The Bulls are 15-16 (.484) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .552

The Bulls are 14-10 (.583) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .506

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bulls

The Celtics are 20-10 (.667) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

The Celtics are 21-11 (.656) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .553

The Celtics are 40-7 (.851) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .767

The Celtics are 22-4 (.846) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .744

Injury Report: Celtics vs. BullsMonday‘s Game, Jan. 9

  • Danilo Gallinari (Celtics): The Celtics announced that Gallinari tore his ACL in his left knee. There is no timetable for his return.
  • Marcus Smart (Celtics): Smart is doubtful for Monday’s (Jan. 9) game against Chicago.
  • Alex Caruso (Bulls): Caruso is questionable for Monday’s (Jan. 9) game against Boston.
  • Javonte Green (Bulls): Green is questionable for Monday’s (Jan. 9) game against Boston.
  • Tony Bradley (Bulls): The Bulls placed Bradley in the league’s health and safety protocols.
  • Lonzo Ball (Bulls): Ball is expected to miss at least a few months, according to Shams Charania of The Athletic.

Chicago Bulls Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls have an eFG% of 43% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Bulls have averaged 15.2 turnovers per game (213 turnovers/14 games) this season — 10th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

The Bulls have averaged 8.5 turnovers per game (119 turnovers/14 games) in the second half this season — tied for highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Bulls have 19.9 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.9

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have averaged 1.38 points per shot (1,554 points/1,124 shots) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27

The Celtics have averaged 1.42 points per shot (812 points/570 shots) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27

The Celtics have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (342 assists/ 159 TOs) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Celtics have a TS% of 57% in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

Chicago Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls have averaged 5.7 blocks per game (80 blocks/14 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Bulls have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (415 blocks/96 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Bulls have 114 steals this season — tied for 7th most among NBA teams

The Bulls have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (719 blocks/168 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (283 blocks/48 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Celtics have averaged 5.3 steals per game (69 steals/13 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Celtics have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (71 blocks/13 games) this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Celtics have averaged 6.7 steals per game (562 steals/84 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.