Cavaliers vs Heat Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 10

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 10, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Cavaliers (42-26) are -1.5 favorites vs. the Heat (35-32)
  • Total (Over/Under): 214.5 points
  • Friday, March 10, 2023 at 8:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSSUN & BSOH

The Cleveland Cavaliers visit Miami-Dade Arena to take on the Miami Heat on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Miami.

The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Cavaliers vs Heat Over/Under is 212.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Cavaliers are 35-29 against the spread, while the Heat are 24-41 against the spread.


Bet now on Heat vs Cavaliers and all NBA games with BetMGM


Cavaliers vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cleveland Cavaliers+2.5 -115O 212.5 -110+110
Miami Heat -2.5 -105U 212.5 -110-130

Heat vs Cavaliers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Cavaliers will win Friday‘s game with 52.4% confidence.

Heat vs Cavaliers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Cavaliers and Heat, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


Bet now on Heat vs Cavaliers and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 45 of their last 67 games (+20.52 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 66 games (+16.56 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 34 of their last 54 games (+13.25 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.40 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have covered the 4Q Spread in 37 of their last 65 games (+6.21 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 38 games at home (+13.80 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 68 games (+12.46 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the Team Total Under in 50 of their last 83 games (+12.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 40 of their last 68 games (+11.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 85 games (+10.50 Units / 11% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 35-29 (+3.05 Units / 4.07% ROI).

  • 42-26 against the Moneyline (+3.25 Units / 2.02% ROI)
  • 32-36 against the Over for game total points (-7.6 Units / -10.16% ROI)
  • 36-32 against the Under for game total points (+0.8 Units / 1.07% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 24-41 (-21.1 Units / -28.63% ROI).

  • 35-32 against the Moneyline (-16.6 Units / -13.26% ROI)
  • 29-37 against the Over for game total points (-11.7 Units / -15.88% ROI)
  • 37-29 against the Under for game total points (+5.1 Units / 6.92% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Over in 41 of their last 99 games (-25.80 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 67 games (-24.53 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 22 of their last 57 games (-24.23 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the Spread in 26 of their last 73 games (-23.50 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 70 games (-21.38 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 79 games (-29.66 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 70 games (-25.50 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 78 games (-25.00 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 31 of their last 78 games (-21.38 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 29 of their last 74 games (-19.55 Units / -24% ROI)

Jump to:

Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Cleveland Cavaliers are 28-7 (.800) when winning the rebounding margin this season — fifth-best among NBA teams. The Detroit Pistons have averaged 42.5 rebounds per game (2,676 rebounds/63 games) this season — 10th-lowest among NBA teams.

The Cleveland Cavaliers are 50-26 (.658) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-best among NBA teams. The Detroit Pistons have averaged 13.8 turnovers per game (2,002 turnovers/145 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for seventh-highest among NBA teams.

The Cavaliers are 38-37 (.507) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Cavaliers are 13-45 (.224) when allowing 110 or more points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .322

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Heat are 45-14 (.763) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .542

The Heat are 29-13 (.690) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

The Heat are 18-6 (.750) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .675

The Heat are 24-15 (.615) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

Injury Report: Heat vs. CavaliersFriday‘s Game, Mar. 10

  • Kyle Lowry (Heat): Lowry has not played since Feb. 2 and no timetable has been announced for his return.
  • Nikola Jovic (Heat): Jovic has been out since Dec. 26 and remains without a timetable for return.
  • Kevin Love (Heat): Kevin Love is probable for Friday’s (Mar.10) game against Cleveland.
  • Cleveland Cavaliers – No Injuries Reported

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers averaged 102.5 points per game (7,379 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8

The Cavaliers shot 34% from three (714/2,125) in the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Cavaliers have averaged 52.1 points per game (11,349 points/218 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54.9

The Cavaliers have averaged 107.3 points per game (23,494 points/219 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 112.1

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 51.4 points per game (3,033 points/59 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.0

The Heat have averaged 108.0 points per game (6,374 points/59 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3

The Heat are shooting 32% from three (316/999) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Heat have averaged 52.4 points per game (7,395 points/141 games) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54.9

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.4 blocks per game (285 blocks/65 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Cavaliers have averaged 32.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,084 rebounds/65 games) this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0

The Cavaliers have averaged 6.8 steals per game (499 steals/73 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (628 blocks/147 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 3.1 blocks per game (438 blocks/141 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Heat have averaged 2.9 blocks per game (173 blocks/59 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Heat have averaged 3.0 blocks per game (205 blocks/69 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Heat have averaged 3.4 blocks per game (724 blocks/213 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8


Bet now on Heat vs Cavaliers and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.