Memphis Grizzlies vs Toronto Raptors Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Dec. 29

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 29, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Grizzlies (20-13) are -3.5 favorites vs. the Raptors (15-19)
  • Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
  • Thursday, December 29, 2022 at 7:30pm EST
  • Watch the game on & BSSE

The Memphis Grizzlies visit Scotiabank Arena to take on the Toronto Raptors on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Toronto.

The Grizzlies are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Grizzlies vs Raptors Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Grizzlies are 15-16 against the spread, while the Raptors are 17-17 against the spread.


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Grizzlies vs. Raptors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Memphis Grizzlies-2.5 -115O 228.5 -115-150
Toronto Raptors +2.5 -105U 228.5 -115+125

Raptors vs Grizzlies Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Grizzlies will win Thursday‘s game with 57.7% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Grizzlies will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 52.5% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Grizzlies and Raptors, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1H Spread in 60 of their last 90 games (+28.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 62 of their last 91 games (+24.45 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 54 of their last 80 games (+20.40 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1Q Spread in 47 of their last 74 games (+17.80 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 50 of their last 81 games (+17.25 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have covered the 4Q Spread in 56 of their last 89 games (+19.46 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have covered the 2Q Spread in 35 of their last 52 games (+16.32 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 52 games (+15.22 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 53 of their last 89 games (+12.06 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have covered the 1H Spread in 34 of their last 57 games (+8.65 Units / 14% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 15-16 (-2.6 Units / -7.16% ROI).

  • 20-13 against the Moneyline (-2.9 Units / -3.95% ROI)
  • 15-17 against the Over for game total points (-3.7 Units / -10.19% ROI)
  • 17-15 against the Under for game total points (+0.5 Units / 1.38% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 17-17 (-1.7 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 15-19 against the Moneyline (-11.95 Units / -18.79% ROI)
  • 18-15 against the Over for game total points (+1.5 Units / 4.01% ROI)
  • 15-18 against the Under for game total points (-4.8 Units / -12.83% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 67 games (-24.75 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 20 of their last 48 games (-18.44 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 87 games (-16.92 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only covered the 3Q Spread in 27 of their last 67 games (-16.55 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Team Total Over in 39 of their last 86 games (-15.95 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 83 games (-36.51 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 92 games (-25.17 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 81 games (-24.50 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 69 games (-22.39 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 4Q Spread in 33 of their last 83 games (-22.33 Units / -24% ROI)

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Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors

The Memphis Grizzlies are 4-16 (.200) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-worst among NBA teams. The New Orleans Pelicans have averaged 45.2 rebounds per game (4,291 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-highest among NBA teams.

The Grizzlies are 64-34 (.653) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .567

The Grizzlies are 54-10 (.844) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .704

The Grizzlies are 37-21 (.638) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Raptors are 22-4 (.846) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .744

The Raptors are 23-10 (.697) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .564

The Raptors are 13-19 (.406) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .452

The Raptors are 26-43 (.371) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

Injury Report: Raptors vs. GrizzliesThursday‘s Game, Dec. 29

  • Fred VanVleet (Raptors): VanVleet is questionable for Thursday’s (Dec. 29) game against Memphis.
  • Otto Porter Jr. (Raptors): Raptors coach Nick Nurse said Porter Jr. could return in about a month.
  • Christian Koloko (Raptors): Koloko is questionable for Thursday’s (Dec. 29) game against Memphis.
  • Precious Achiuwa (Raptors): Achiuwa is questionable for Thursday’s (Dec. 29) game against Memphis.
  • Danny Green (Grizzlies): The 76ers announced that Green has a torn ACL and LCL in his left knee.

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 27.9 points in the paint per game (4,632 points/166 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.9

The Grizzlies have averaged 56.5 points in the paint per game (5,372 points/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.3

The Grizzlies have averaged 57.1 points in the paint per game (2,686 points/47 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.8

The Grizzlies have averaged 56.7 points in the paint per game (4,760 points/84 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.1

Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 20.7 fast break points per game (290 points/14 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Raptors have averaged 10.8 fast break points per game (151 points/14 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Raptors have averaged 13.1 offensive rebounds per game (1,260 rebounds/96 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.3

The Raptors have averaged 9.9 fast break points per game (139 points/14 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.5

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.2 steals per game (1,535 steals/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.1 blocks per game (294 blocks/48 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.3 steals per game (880 steals/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.1 steals per game (428 steals/47 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 11.0 steals per game (154 steals/14 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Raptors have 154 steals this season — most among NBA teams

The Raptors have averaged 31.7 defensive rebounds per game (5,333 rebounds/168 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Raptors have averaged 8.9 steals per game (1,499 steals/168 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.