Charlotte Hornets vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Dec. 18

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 18, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Nuggets (17-11) are -9.5 favorites vs. the Hornets (7-22)
  • Total (Over/Under): 235.5 points
  • Sunday, December 18, 2022 at 8:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on ALT & BSSE

The Charlotte Hornets visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Denver.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-105).

The Hornets vs Nuggets Over/Under is 235.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Hornets are 12-16 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 12-16 against the spread.


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Hornets vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Charlotte Hornets+9.5 -115O 235.5 -110+300
Denver Nuggets -9.5 -105U 235.5 -110-400

Nuggets vs Hornets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Sunday‘s game with 70.8% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.9% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Hornets and Nuggets, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 36 away games (+16.41 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 49 games (+16.05 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have covered the 2Q Spread in 25 of their last 37 away games (+12.22 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 29 away games (+11.20 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 30 away games (+10.70 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 76 games (+12.00 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 46 of their last 80 games (+11.80 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 50 of their last 85 games (+11.40 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 44 of their last 73 games (+11.36 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 38 games at home (+10.70 Units / 26% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hornets have gone 12-16 (-5.6 Units / -17.58% ROI).

  • 7-22 against the Moneyline (-9.75 Units / -30.66% ROI)
  • 15-14 against the Over for game total points (-0.4 Units / -1.25% ROI)
  • 14-15 against the Under for game total points (-2.5 Units / -7.84% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 12-16 (-5.6 Units / -18.18% ROI).

  • 17-11 against the Moneyline (-0.55 Units / -0.74% ROI)
  • 14-14 against the Over for game total points (-1.4 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 14-14 against the Under for game total points (-1.4 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 38 of their last 86 games (-34.72 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 79 games (-22.24 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 27 games at home (-22.10 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 34 of their last 86 games (-20.10 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 3Q Spread in 25 of their last 66 games (-19.66 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 76 games (-27.80 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only covered the 1Q Spread in 27 of their last 76 games (-24.00 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 70 games (-23.30 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 65 games (-23.24 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 80 games (-20.63 Units / -23% ROI)

Jump to:

Charlotte Hornets: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Hornets are 28-35 (.444) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

The Hornets are 4-22 (.154) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .256

The Hornets are 16-25 (.390) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .539

The Hornets are 8-42 (.160) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .268

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Charlotte Hornets

The Nuggets are 51-19 (.729) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .568

The Nuggets are 33-11 (.750) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

The Nuggets are 28-15 (.651) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Nuggets are 17-6 (.739) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .510

Injury Report: Nuggets vs. HornetsSunday‘s Game, Dec. 18

  • Jamal Murray (Nuggets): Murray is probable for Sunday’s (Dec. 18) game against Charlotte.
  • Michael Porter Jr. (Nuggets): Nuggets coach Michael Malone said that Porter doesn’t have a timeframe for a return.
  • Collin Gillespie (Nuggets): The Nuggets announced that Gillespie is out indefinitely after undergoing surgery to repair a lower left leg fracture.
  • Nikola Jokic (Nuggets): Jokic is probable for Sunday’s (Dec. 18) game against Charlotte.
  • Mark Williams (Hornets): Williams is out for Sunday’s (Dec. 18) game against Denver.
  • Cody Martin (Hornets): Martin has not played since Oct. 19 and no timetable has been announced for his return.
  • Dennis Smith Jr. (Hornets): Smith Jr. has not played since Nov. 23 and no timetable has been announced for his return.

Charlotte Hornets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets have averaged 1.12 points per shot (629 points/561 shots) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.29

The Hornets have a TS% of 46% at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Hornets have averaged 1.18 points per shot (1,522 points/1,286 shots) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27

The Hornets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (1,272 assists/ 573 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (2,136/4,216) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (3,791/7,476) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Nuggets are shooting 44% from three (61/138) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Nuggets are shooting 42% from three (171/404) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Charlotte Hornets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets have averaged 8.1 steals per game (1,360 steals/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Hornets have blocked 77 shots this season — 9th most among NBA teams

The Hornets have 1,360 steals since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th most among NBA teams

The Hornets have averaged 33.2 defensive rebounds per game (5,550 rebounds/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (158 blocks/45 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Nuggets have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (348 blocks/86 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Nuggets have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (196 blocks/50 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Nuggets have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (329 blocks/81 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9


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