Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat Odds, Lines, Picks & Predictions – NBA, Mar. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 28, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Heat (38-21) are -12.5 favorites vs. the Kings (22-39)
  • Total (Over/Under): 216.5 points
  • Monday, March 28, 2022 at 7:30pm EDT
  • Watch the game on BSSUN & NBCS-CA

The Sacramento Kings visit FTX Arena to take on the Miami Heat on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Miami.

The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-115).

So far this NBA season, the Kings are 36-38 against the spread, while the Heat are 40-34 against the spread.

The Kings vs Heat Over/Under is 216.5 total points for the game.


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Kings vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Sacramento Kings+12.5 -105O 216.5 -110600
Miami Heat -12.5 -115U 216.5 -110-900

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone:

  • 36-38 against the Spread (-5.8 Units / -7.03% ROI)
  • 27-48 against the Moneyline (-15.3 Units / -16.34% ROI)
  • 40-34 against the Over for game total points (+2.6 Units / 3.15% ROI)
  • 34-40 against the Under for game total points (-10 Units / -12.12% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 68 games (+12.05 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have covered the 1Q Spread in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.75 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 10 away games (+7.80 Units / 70% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 57 games (+7.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 26 games (+7.09 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 23 of their last 75 games (-28.43 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 29 of their last 75 games (-20.11 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 74 games (-19.23 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 3Q Spread in 30 of their last 74 games (-15.95 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 68 games (-13.63 Units / -18% ROI)
  • Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone:

    • 40-34 against the Spread (+2.45 Units / 2.96% ROI)
    • 47-28 against the Moneyline (+7.3 Units / 3.58% ROI)
    • 44-31 against the Over for game total points (+9.9 Units / 12% ROI)
    • 31-44 against the Under for game total points (-17.4 Units / -21.09% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 54 games (+22.45 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 34 of their last 53 games (+13.46 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 70 games (+13.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 34 of their last 49 games (+13.01 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+10.06 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 70 games (-28.77 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 70 games (-20.30 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 57 games (-18.57 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 74 games (-17.05 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 9 games (-13.70 Units / -32% ROI)
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    Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

    The Kings were 4-20 (.167) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .413

    The Kings are 2-9 (.182) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .524

    The Kings are 7-16 (.304) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

    The Kings were 13-1 (.929) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .782

    Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

    The Heat are 27-10 (.730) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .555

    The Heat are 19-7 (.731) when they win the turnover margin this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .561

    The Heat are 23-8 (.742) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .535

    The Heat are 12-4 (.750) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .524

    Injury Report: Heat vs. KingsMonday‘s Game, Mar. 28

  • Gabe Vincent (Heat): Vincent is questionable for Monday’s (Mar. 28) game against Sacramento.
  • P.J. Tucker (Heat): Tucker is questionable for Monday’s (Mar. 28) game against Sacramento.
  • Tyler Herro (Heat): Herro is questionable for Monday’s (Mar. 28) game against Sacramento.
  • Caleb Martin (Heat): Martin is questionable for Monday’s (Mar. 28) game against Sacramento.
  • Domantas Sabonis (Kings): Sabonis will miss the team’s upcoming five-game road trip, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
  • Terence Davis (Kings): The Kings announced that Davis had surgery on his right wrist. He will be re-evaluated in three months.
  • Richaun Holmes (Kings): The Kings announced F Richaun Holmes will miss the remainder of the season.
  • De’Aaron Fox (Kings): Fox is out for Monday’s (Mar. 28) game against Miami.
  • Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

    The Kings have 22.6 free throw attempts per game this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 20.8

    The Kings shot 49% (1,608/3,265) in the first half last season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

    The Kings have made 779 three-pointers at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th most among NBA teams

    The Kings are shooting 74% from the free throw line (913/1,229) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

    Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

    The Heat averaged 8.0 offensive rebounds per game (579 rebounds/72 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 9.8

    The Heat are shooting 37% from three (605/1,617) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

    The Heat have made 605 three-pointers this season — 7th most among NBA teams

    The Heat attempted 2,606 threes last season — 10th most among NBA teams

    Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

    The Kings averaged 32.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,307 rebounds/72 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.4

    The Kings have blocked 323 shots at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th most among NBA teams

    The Kings have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,898 rebounds/119 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.3

    Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

    The Heat have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (217 blocks/61 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

    The Heat have averaged 3.7 blocks per game (436 blocks/117 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

    The Heat have averaged 3.3 blocks per game (150 blocks/45 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

    The Heat averaged 4.0 blocks per game (286 blocks/72 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9


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