Kings vs Wizards Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 18

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 18, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Kings (42-27) are -2.5 favorites vs. the Wizards (32-38)
  • Total (Over/Under): 236.5 points
  • Saturday, March 18, 2023 at 8:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on NBCS-DC & NBCS-CA

The Sacramento Kings visit Capital One Arena to take on the Washington Wizards on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Washington.

The Kings are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Kings vs Wizards Over/Under is 235.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Kings are 39-30 against the spread, while the Wizards are 33-35 against the spread.


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Kings vs. Wizards Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Sacramento Kings-4.5 -115O 235.5 -110-190
Washington Wizards +4.5 -105U 235.5 -110+155

Wizards vs Kings Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Kings will win Saturday‘s game with 58.6% confidence.

Wizards vs Kings Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 54.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Kings and Wizards, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 41 away games (+18.25 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 2H Moneyline in 23 of their last 34 away games (+13.72 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 48 games (+12.11 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 36 away games (+10.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have covered the Spread in 26 of their last 41 away games (+10.65 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 53 of their last 77 games (+26.85 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 37 games (+13.35 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+11.00 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 39 games (+9.95 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 44 of their last 74 games (+9.87 Units / 12% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 39-30 (+6 Units / 7.91% ROI).

  • 42-27 against the Moneyline (+7.85 Units / 6.44% ROI)
  • 34-35 against the Over for game total points (-4.5 Units / -5.93% ROI)
  • 35-34 against the Under for game total points (-2.4 Units / -3.16% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 33-35 (-5.5 Units / -7.15% ROI).

  • 32-38 against the Moneyline (-0.1 Units / -0.1% ROI)
  • 32-36 against the Over for game total points (-7.6 Units / -9.87% ROI)
  • 36-32 against the Under for game total points (+0.8 Units / 1.04% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 77 games (-33.85 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 74 games (-19.39 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 68 games (-15.65 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 53 games (-15.51 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 46 games (-14.38 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 79 games (-25.57 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 76 games (-22.70 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 80 games (-22.16 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 50 games (-17.42 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 67 games (-15.56 Units / -17% ROI)

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Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards

The Kings are 3-34 (.081) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .229

The Kings are winless (0-17) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .119

The Kings are 20-33 (.377) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .434

The Kings are 6-29 (.171) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .240

Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Wizards are 4-29 (.121) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .311

The Wizards are 24-24 (.500) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Wizards are 13-22 (.371) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

The Wizards are 8-12 (.400) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .469

Injury Report: Wizards vs. KingsSaturday‘s Game, Mar. 18

  • Washington Wizards – No Injuries Reported
  • Richaun Holmes (Kings): The Kings have listed Holmes as QUESTIONABLE for Saturday’s game (Mar. 18) against the Wizards.
  • Kevin Huerter (Kings): The Kings have listed Huerter as QUESTIONABLE for Saturday’s game (Mar. 18) against the Wizards.
  • Trey Lyles (Kings): The Kings have listed Lyles as QUESTIONABLE for Saturday’s game (Mar. 18) against the Wizards.

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have averaged 121.2 points per game (8,241 points/68 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.5

The Kings are shooting 39% from three (133/339) in close and late situations this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34%

The Kings have an eFG% of 58% in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Kings have averaged 124.2 points per game (4,347 points/35 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 116.0

Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards averaged 116.6 points per game (8,398 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8

The Wizards have averaged 9.4 fast break points per game (687 points/73 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Wizards have averaged 10.3 fast break points per game (329 points/32 games) at home this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

The Wizards have made 11.3 three-pointers per game this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (218 blocks/68 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Kings have averaged 7.1 steals per game (1,063 steals/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Kings have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (304 blocks/76 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Kings have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (945 blocks/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have averaged 6.6 steals per game (990 steals/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Wizards have averaged 5.1 blocks per game (758 blocks/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Wizards have averaged 6.5 steals per game (474 steals/73 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Wizards have averaged 4.8 blocks per game (538 blocks/113 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.