Knicks vs Celtics Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 5

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 05, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Celtics (45-19) are -5.5 favorites vs. the Knicks (38-27)
  • Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
  • Sunday, March 5, 2023 at 7:30pm EST
  • Watch the game on NBCS-BOS & ESPN

The New York Knicks visit TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Boston.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-105).

The Knicks vs Celtics Over/Under is 226.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Knicks are 37-26 against the spread, while the Celtics are 33-30 against the spread.


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Knicks vs. Celtics Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New York Knicks+6.5 -115O 226.5 -110+220
Boston Celtics -6.5 -105U 226.5 -110-275

Celtics vs Knicks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Sunday‘s game with 63.3% confidence.

Celtics vs Knicks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Knicks will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.1% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Knicks and Celtics, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The New York Knicks have covered the 1H Spread in 56 of their last 82 games (+29.90 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 53 of their last 84 games (+25.25 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 41 away games (+24.45 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have covered the Spread in 30 of their last 41 away games (+17.95 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have covered the 2Q Spread in 52 of their last 84 games (+16.82 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 69 games (+28.89 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 59 of their last 100 games (+13.90 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 2Q Spread in 27 of their last 42 games at home (+11.39 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 43 of their last 72 games (+10.83 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 64 games (+10.64 Units / 15% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Knicks have gone 37-26 (+8.45 Units / 11.82% ROI).

  • 38-27 against the Moneyline (+10.5 Units / 10.77% ROI)
  • 34-29 against the Over for game total points (+2.1 Units / 2.94% ROI)
  • 29-34 against the Under for game total points (-8.4 Units / -11.75% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 33-30 (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 45-19 against the Moneyline (-14.55 Units / -6.86% ROI)
  • 32-32 against the Over for game total points (-3.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 32-32 against the Under for game total points (-3.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 73 games (-37.76 Units / -46% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 38 games (-24.65 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 46 of their last 99 games (-24.41 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 99 games (-23.77 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 52 of their last 99 games (-23.71 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 84 games (-25.15 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 82 games (-22.86 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 75 games (-20.87 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 25 of their last 62 games (-19.28 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 75 games (-18.97 Units / -21% ROI)

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New York Knicks: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The New York Knicks are 30-11 (.732) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 10th-best among NBA teams. The Miami Heat have averaged 41.3 rebounds per game (2,436 rebounds/59 games) this season — fourth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Knicks are 11-17 (.393) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .470

The Knicks are 23-7 (.767) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .597

The Knicks are 39-65 (.375) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .432

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Knicks

The Boston Celtics are 28-5 (.848) when winning the rebounding margin this season — third-best among NBA teams. The Brooklyn Nets have averaged 40.0 rebounds per game (2,360 rebounds/59 games) this season — second-lowest among NBA teams.

The Boston Celtics are 67-16 (.807) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-best among NBA teams. The Brooklyn Nets have averaged 42.6 rebounds per game (6,000 rebounds/141 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for fifth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Celtics are 20-7 (.741) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

The Celtics are 20-10 (.667) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .513

Injury Report: Celtics vs. KnicksSunday‘s Game, Mar. 5

  • Robert Williams III (Celtics): Williams III is out for Sunday’s (Mar. 5) game against New York.
  • Danilo Gallinari (Celtics): Gallinari is hoping to return and play at the end of the season, according to Adam Himmelsbach of The Boston Globe.
  • Malcolm Brogdon (Celtics): Brogdon is questionable for Sunday’s (Mar. 5) game against New York.
  • New York Knicks – No Injuries Reported

New York Knicks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks have averaged 8.6 second chance points per game (518 points/60 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Knicks have averaged 17.3 second chance points per game (1,039 points/60 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.7

The Knicks have averaged 21.9 assists per game (4,693 assists/214 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.8

The Knicks have averaged 16.5 second chance points per game (461 points/28 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have made 15.5 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Celtics have averaged 1.8 second chance points per game (85 points/47 games) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.7

The Celtics have an eFG% of 56% this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Celtics have a 25% free throw rate (1,311 free throw attempts/5,181 field goal attempts) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 27%

New York Knicks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks have averaged 6.2 steals per game (373 steals/60 games) this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Knicks have averaged 34.8 defensive rebounds per game (7,450 rebounds/214 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

The Knicks have averaged 34.5 defensive rebounds per game (4,896 rebounds/142 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.7

The Knicks have averaged 6.6 steals per game (943 steals/142 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have averaged 35.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,082 rebounds/59 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.1

The Celtics have averaged 6.2 steals per game (364 steals/59 games) this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Celtics have averaged 6.6 steals per game (708 steals/107 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Celtics have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (794 blocks/141 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.