Pistons vs Rockets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 31

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 31, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Rockets (18-59) are -5.5 favorites vs. the Pistons (16-60)
  • Total (Over/Under): 230.5 points
  • Friday, March 31, 2023 at 8:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on SportsNet SW & BSDET

The Detroit Pistons visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Houston.

The Rockets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Pistons vs Rockets Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pistons are 32-41 against the spread, while the Rockets are 30-43 against the spread.


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Pistons vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Detroit Pistons+6.5 -110O 228.5 -105+195
Houston Rockets -6.5 -110U 228.5 -105-250

Rockets vs Pistons Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Friday‘s game with 61.5% confidence.

Rockets vs Pistons Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Pistons and Rockets, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 51 of their last 80 games (+17.59 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 47 of their last 77 games (+13.62 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 31 games (+12.10 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 28 away games (+10.99 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 2Q Spread in 36 of their last 59 games (+10.61 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 66 games (+15.76 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 38 games at home (+14.85 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 31 games at home (+12.10 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+11.05 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 1H Spread in 40 of their last 70 games (+9.20 Units / 12% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 32-41 (-13.15 Units / -15.73% ROI).

  • 16-60 against the Moneyline (-26.6 Units / -33.52% ROI)
  • 36-40 against the Over for game total points (-8 Units / -9.57% ROI)
  • 40-36 against the Under for game total points (+0.4 Units / 0.48% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 30-43 (-17.3 Units / -20.43% ROI).

  • 18-59 against the Moneyline (-19.65 Units / -24.76% ROI)
  • 39-38 against the Over for game total points (-2.8 Units / -3.31% ROI)
  • 38-39 against the Under for game total points (-4.9 Units / -5.79% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 82 games (-25.60 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 82 games (-24.65 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 79 games (-23.47 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 32 of their last 79 games (-20.26 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 24 of their last 79 games (-20.16 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 79 games (-29.60 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 80 games (-29.33 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 35 games (-26.25 Units / -72% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 81 games (-25.10 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 77 games (-23.15 Units / -26% ROI)

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Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Pistons are 23-83 (.217) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .454

The Pistons are 10-61 (.141) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .451

The Pistons are 5-25 (.167) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457

The Pistons are 8-39 (.170) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .435

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Rockets are 8-84 (.087) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .225

The Houston Rockets are 1-16 (.059) when losing the rebounding margin this season — worst among NBA teams. The New Orleans Pelicans have averaged 51.9 rebounds per game (3,579 rebounds/69 games) this season — 10th-highest among NBA teams.

The Rockets are 23-78 (.225) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .542

The Rockets are 13-52 (.200) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .452

Injury Report: Rockets vs. PistonsFriday‘s Game, Mar. 31

  • Jae’Sean Tate (Rockets): Tate is out for Friday’s (Mar.31) game against Detroit.
  • Kenyon Martin Jr. (Rockets): Martin Jr. is questionable for Friday’s (Mar.31) game against Detroit.
  • Isaiah Stewart (Pistons): The Pistons announced that Stewart has a left shoulder impingement and will re-evaluated in 3-4 weeks.
  • Cade Cunningham (Pistons): Cunningham had season-ending surgery on his shin. He plans on on being ready for next season, according to James Edwards III of The Athletic.
  • Alec Burks (Pistons): Burks hasn’t played since Mar. 6 against Portland and remains without a timetable to return.
  • Hamidou Diallo (Pistons): The Pistons announced that Diallo has a grade 2 right ankle sprain and will be re-evaluated in 3-4 weeks.
  • Rodney McGruder (Pistons): McGruder is out for Friday’s (Mar.31) game against Houston.
  • Bojan Bogdanovic (Pistons): Bogdanovic hasn’t played since Mar. 1 against Chicago and remains without a timetable to return.

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons are shooting 44% (5,879/13,306) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Pistons have a TS% of 48% since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Pistons have a TS% of 48% at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Pistons have an eFG% of 50% in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (2,538 assists/ 1,760 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (779 assists/ 587 TOs) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (1,703 assists/ 1,262 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (749 assists/ 577 TOs) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 34.2 defensive rebounds per game (7,627 rebounds/223 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36.0

The Pistons have averaged 33.9 defensive rebounds per game (5,125 rebounds/151 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.8

The Pistons have averaged 33.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,342 rebounds/69 games) this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pistons have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (269 blocks/69 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have averaged 35.3 defensive rebounds per game (7,861 rebounds/223 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36.0

The Rockets have forced 13.1 turnovers per game (457 turnovers/35 games) at home this season — 6th lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.3

The Rockets have forced 13.3 turnovers per game (916 turnovers/69 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.2

The Rockets have forced 13.5 turnovers per game (459 turnovers/34 games) on the road this season — 10th lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.